Al Taawon vs Al-Nassr: prediction and stats
Pro LeagueRegular Season - 21Kick-off on February 25, 2027 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Al Taawon Club Stadium, Buraidah
The Footlab model makes Al-Nassr the favourite at 59%, against 22% for a draw and 19% for Al Taawon. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Al Taawon vs Al-Nassr?
Al-Nassr starts as the favourite with a 263-point Elo edge (2,133 vs 1,869).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Al Taawon have 4 wins, 6 draws and 5 defeats; Al-Nassr have 10, 1 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 25, 2026 | Al-Fayha(home) | 0-0 | Pro League |
| Aug 22, 2026 | Al Kholood(away) | 2-3 | Pro League |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Damac(away) | 3-0 | King's Cup |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Al Khaleej Saihat(home) | 0-0 | Pro League |
| May 21, 2026 | Al-Hazm(away) | 0-2 | Pro League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 25, 2026 | Al-Ettifaq(away) | 3-2 | Pro League |
| Aug 21, 2026 | Al Riyadh(away) | 4-0 | Pro League |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Al Diriyah(away) | 4-1 | King's Cup |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Al-Fateh(home) | 3-0 | Pro League |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Almeria(home) | 0-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Al Taawon win(s), 2 draw(s), 3 Al-Nassr win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 26, 2026 | Al-Nassr 1-0 Al Taawon | Pro League |
| Aug 29, 2025 | Al Taawon 0-5 Al-Nassr | Pro League |
| May 16, 2025 | Al-Nassr 1-1 Al Taawon | Pro League |
| Jan 17, 2025 | Al Taawon 1-1 Al-Nassr | Pro League |
| Oct 29, 2024 | Al-Nassr 0-1 Al Taawon | King's Cup |
| Aug 14, 2024 | Al Taawon 0-2 Al-Nassr | Super Cup |
Last archived meeting: Al-Nassr vs Al Taawon on Jan 26, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Al Taawon score 1.5 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Al-Nassr score 2.6 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 61% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Al Taawon | 1.5 | 1.4 | 3 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
| Al-Nassr | 2.6 | 1.2 | 5 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Al Taawon sit 12th in Pro League (2 points from 3 matches) and Al-Nassr sit 1st (9 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Al-Nassr | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 2 | 9 |
| 12 | Al Taawon | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 2 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Al Taawon vs Al-Nassr?
- The Footlab model makes Al-Nassr the favourite at 59%, against 22% for a draw and 19% for Al Taawon.
- Where and when is Al Taawon vs Al-Nassr played?
- Al Taawon vs Al-Nassr is played on February 25, 2027 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Al Taawon Club Stadium, in the Pro League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.