Al-Nassr vs Al-Ittihad FC: prediction and stats
Pro LeagueRegular Season - 22Kick-off on March 11, 2027 at 07:00 PM (UTC)Al Awal Park at King Saud University, Riyadh
The Footlab model makes Al-Nassr the favourite at 56%, against 23% for a draw and 22% for Al-Ittihad FC. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Al-Nassr vs Al-Ittihad FC?
Al-Nassr starts as the favourite with a 124-point Elo edge (2,134 vs 2,009).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Al-Nassr have 10 wins, 1 draws and 4 defeats; Al-Ittihad FC have 9, 3 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 25, 2026 | Al-Ettifaq(away) | 3-2 | Pro League |
| Aug 21, 2026 | Al Riyadh(away) | 4-0 | Pro League |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Al Diriyah(away) | 4-1 | King's Cup |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Al-Fateh(home) | 3-0 | Pro League |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Almeria(home) | 0-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 24, 2026 | Al-Hazm(home) | 3-2 | Pro League |
| Aug 21, 2026 | Al-Qadisiyah FC(away) | 1-0 | Pro League |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Al Najma(away) | 3-0 | King's Cup |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Al Kholood(home) | 1-1 | Pro League |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Al-Jazira(away) | 4-1 | AFC Champions League Elite |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Al-Nassr win(s), 0 draw(s), 3 Al-Ittihad FC win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 6, 2026 | Al-Nassr 2-0 Al-Ittihad FC | Pro League |
| Oct 28, 2025 | Al-Nassr 1-2 Al-Ittihad FC | King's Cup |
| Sep 26, 2025 | Al-Ittihad FC 0-2 Al-Nassr | Pro League |
| Aug 19, 2025 | Al-Nassr 2-1 Al-Ittihad FC | Super Cup |
| May 7, 2025 | Al-Nassr 2-3 Al-Ittihad FC | Pro League |
| Dec 6, 2024 | Al-Ittihad FC 2-1 Al-Nassr | Pro League |
Last archived meeting: Al-Nassr vs Al-Ittihad FC on Feb 6, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Al-Nassr score 2.6 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Al-Ittihad FC score 2.1 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 63% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Al-Nassr | 2.6 | 1.2 | 5 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
| Al-Ittihad FC | 2.1 | 1.5 | 4 | 11/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Al-Nassr sit 1st in Pro League (9 points from 3 matches) and Al-Ittihad FC sit 2nd (7 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Al-Nassr | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 2 | 9 |
| 2 | Al-Ittihad FC | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 7 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Al-Nassr vs Al-Ittihad FC?
- The Footlab model makes Al-Nassr the favourite at 56%, against 23% for a draw and 22% for Al-Ittihad FC.
- Where and when is Al-Nassr vs Al-Ittihad FC played?
- Al-Nassr vs Al-Ittihad FC is played on March 11, 2027 at 07:00 PM (UTC) at Al Awal Park at King Saud University, in the Pro League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 63% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.