Al Ittihad vs El Gouna FC: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 6Kick-off on October 13, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Alexandria Stadium, Alexandria
The Footlab model makes Al Ittihad the favourite at 35%, against 32% for a draw and 33% for El Gouna FC. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Al Ittihad vs El Gouna FC?
A very open match: only 63 Elo points separate Al Ittihad (1,762) and El Gouna FC (1,826).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Al Ittihad have 3 wins, 8 draws and 4 defeats; El Gouna FC have 4, 7 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Zamalek SC(away) | 0-0 | Premier League |
| May 29, 2026 | National Bank of Egypt(away) | 2-2 | Premier League |
| May 23, 2026 | Ismaily SC(home) | 3-0 | Premier League |
| May 18, 2026 | Ghazl El Mehalla(away) | 0-1 | Premier League |
| May 13, 2026 | El Geish(home) | 1-0 | Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Future FC(home) | 1-1 | Premier League |
| May 28, 2026 | Petrojet(away) | 2-1 | Premier League |
| May 22, 2026 | El Geish(home) | 2-1 | Premier League |
| May 17, 2026 | National Bank of Egypt(away) | 1-1 | Premier League |
| May 12, 2026 | Kahraba Ismailia(home) | 0-1 | Premier League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Al Ittihad win(s), 2 draw(s), 3 El Gouna FC win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 4, 2026 | El Gouna FC 0-0 Al Ittihad | Premier League |
| Nov 23, 2025 | Al Ittihad 0-2 El Gouna FC | Premier League |
| Mar 11, 2025 | El Gouna FC 2-0 Al Ittihad | Premier League |
| Feb 17, 2025 | Al Ittihad 1-0 El Gouna FC | Premier League |
| Apr 27, 2024 | El Gouna FC 2-1 Al Ittihad | Premier League |
| Oct 6, 2023 | Al Ittihad 2-2 El Gouna FC | Premier League |
Last archived meeting: El Gouna FC vs Al Ittihad on Apr 4, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Al Ittihad score 0.9 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; El Gouna FC score 0.9 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 33% probability of over 2.5 goals and 41% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Al Ittihad | 0.9 | 1.0 | 6 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
| El Gouna FC | 0.9 | 0.9 | 4 | 7/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Al Ittihad sit 11th in Premier League (1 points from 1 matches) and El Gouna FC sit 9th (1 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | El Gouna FC | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 11 | Al Ittihad | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Al Ittihad vs El Gouna FC?
- The Footlab model makes Al Ittihad the favourite at 35%, against 32% for a draw and 33% for El Gouna FC.
- Where and when is Al Ittihad vs El Gouna FC played?
- Al Ittihad vs El Gouna FC is played on October 13, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Alexandria Stadium, in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 33% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.