Al Kahrabaa vs Karbala: prediction and stats
Iraqi LeagueRegular Season - 9Kick-off on October 9, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Al-Zawraa Stadium, Baghdād
The Footlab model makes Al Kahrabaa the favourite at 45%, against 27% for a draw and 27% for Karbala. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Al Kahrabaa vs Karbala?
Al Kahrabaa starts as the favourite with a 127-point Elo edge (1,464 vs 1,337).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Al Kahrabaa have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Karbala have 2, 3 and 10.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 20, 2026 | Ghaz Al Shamal(away) | 1-1 | Iraqi League |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Erbil(away) | 0-2 | Iraqi League |
| May 27, 2026 | Duhok(away) | 2-1 | Iraqi League |
| May 19, 2026 | Gharraf(home) | 2-2 | Iraqi League |
| May 15, 2026 | Baghdad(away) | 1-0 | Iraqi League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Al Zawra'a(home) | 1-1 | Iraqi League |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Al Shorta(away) | 1-1 | Iraqi League |
| Jun 8, 2026 | Baghdad(away) | 1-0 | Iraqi League |
| Jul 4, 2025 | Al Hudod(home) | 2-3 | Iraqi League |
| Jun 27, 2025 | Naft(home) | 2-4 | Iraqi League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Al Kahrabaa win(s), 4 draw(s), 2 Karbala win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 13, 2025 | Al Kahrabaa 1-1 Karbala | Iraqi League |
| Dec 6, 2024 | Karbala 0-0 Al Kahrabaa | Iraqi League |
| Apr 30, 2024 | Karbala 0-0 Al Kahrabaa | Iraqi League |
| Feb 27, 2024 | Al Kahrabaa 0-1 Karbala | Iraqi League |
| May 29, 2023 | Al Kahrabaa 0-1 Karbala | Iraqi League |
| Dec 25, 2022 | Karbala 1-1 Al Kahrabaa | Iraqi League |
Last archived meeting: Al Kahrabaa vs Karbala on Mar 13, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Al Kahrabaa score 1.4 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Karbala score 1.1 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Al Kahrabaa | 1.4 | 1.5 | 3 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
| Karbala | 1.1 | 2.1 | 2 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Al Kahrabaa sit 19th in Iraqi League (1 points from 2 matches) and Karbala sit 12th (2 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Karbala | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 |
| 19 | Al Kahrabaa | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Al Kahrabaa vs Karbala?
- The Footlab model makes Al Kahrabaa the favourite at 45%, against 27% for a draw and 27% for Karbala.
- Where and when is Al Kahrabaa vs Karbala played?
- Al Kahrabaa vs Karbala is played on October 9, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Al-Zawraa Stadium, in the Iraqi League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.