Al Karkh vs Al Shorta: prediction and stats
Iraqi LeagueRegular Season - 38Kick-off on May 28, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Al Saher Ahmed Radhi Stadium, Baghdād
The Footlab AI model makes Al Shorta the favourite at 49%, against 27% for a draw and 24% for Al Karkh. The most likely score is 1-1. If Al Shorta wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.2% of the 2,919 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 21, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Al Karkh vs Al Shorta?
Al Shorta starts as the favourite with a 200-point Elo edge (1,728 vs 1,528).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Al Karkh vs Al Shorta
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Al Karkh
Not enough data to predict the Al Karkh lineup.
Al Shorta
4-2-3-1- 10L. Ateba
- 9Hussein Ali
- 14B. Moumouni
- 11Bassam Shakir
- 23K. Kuku
- 13B. Ngalamulume
- 4R. Ramírez
- 5Maytham Jabbar
- 15A. Yahya
- 25Atheer Salih
- 12Jalal Hassan Hachim
Computed on October 21, 2026 at 02:23 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Al Karkh have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; Al Shorta have 7, 6 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | Al Shorta(away) | 1-1 | Iraqi League |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Al-Karma(away) | 2-3 | Iraqi League |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Naft Maysan(home) | 3-2 | Iraqi League |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Duhok(home) | 3-2 | Iraqi League |
| Sep 9, 2026 | Al Talaba(away) | 2-3 | Iraqi League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | Al Karkh(home) | 1-1 | Iraqi League |
| Oct 13, 2026 | East Bengal II(away) | 3-2 | AFC Champions League Two |
| Oct 8, 2026 | Al Talaba(away) | 0-0 | Iraqi League |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Al Kahrabaa(home) | 2-0 | Iraqi League |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Al Seeb(home) | 1-0 | AFC Champions League Two |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Al Karkh wins, 1 draw, 5 Al Shorta wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | Al Shorta 1-1 Al Karkh | Iraqi League |
| May 28, 2026 | Al Karkh 0-2 Al Shorta | Iraqi League |
| Nov 20, 2025 | Al Shorta 3-0 Al Karkh | Iraqi League |
| May 8, 2025 | Al Shorta 1-0 Al Karkh | Iraqi League |
| Dec 11, 2024 | Al Karkh 1-2 Al Shorta | Iraqi League |
| May 21, 2024 | Al Shorta 2-1 Al Karkh | Iraqi League |
Last archived meeting: Al Shorta vs Al Karkh on Oct 18, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Al Karkh score 1.5 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Al Shorta score 1.1 and concede 0.6. The model gives a 46% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Al Karkh | 1.5 | 1.7 | 0 | 10/15 | 8/15 |
| Al Shorta | 1.1 | 0.6 | 9 | 5/15 | 3/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Al Karkh sit 19th in Iraqi League (7 points from 9 matches) and Al Shorta sit 6th (16 points from 9 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Al Shorta | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 9 | 4 | 16 |
| 19 | Al Karkh | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 12 | 17 | 7 |
A question about Al Karkh vs Al Shorta?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Al Karkh vs Al Shorta?
- The Footlab AI model makes Al Shorta the favourite at 49%, against 27% for a draw and 24% for Al Karkh.
- Where and when is Al Karkh vs Al Shorta played?
- Al Karkh vs Al Shorta is played on May 28, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Al Saher Ahmed Radhi Stadium, in the Iraqi League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 46% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.2% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.