Al Karkh vs Al Talaba: prediction and stats
Iraqi LeagueRegular Season - 34Kick-off on April 30, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Al Saher Ahmed Radhi Stadium, Baghdād
The Footlab AI model makes Al Talaba the favourite at 40%, against 28% for a draw and 32% for Al Karkh. The most likely score is 1-1. If Al Talaba wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 2,857 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 20, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Al Karkh vs Al Talaba?
A very open match: only 78 Elo points separate Al Karkh (1,528) and Al Talaba (1,606).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Al Karkh vs Al Talaba
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Al Karkh
Not enough data to predict the Al Karkh lineup.
Al Talaba
Not enough data to predict the Al Talaba lineup.
Computed on October 20, 2026 at 11:36 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Al Karkh have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; Al Talaba have 3, 9 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | Al Shorta(away) | 1-1 | Iraqi League |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Al-Karma(away) | 2-3 | Iraqi League |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Naft Maysan(home) | 3-2 | Iraqi League |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Duhok(home) | 3-2 | Iraqi League |
| Sep 9, 2026 | Al Talaba(away) | 2-3 | Iraqi League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2026 | Al Kahrabaa(away) | 1-0 | Iraqi League |
| Oct 8, 2026 | Al Shorta(home) | 0-0 | Iraqi League |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Al-Jolan SC(home) | 2-2 | Iraqi League |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Naft Maysan(away) | 0-2 | Iraqi League |
| Sep 9, 2026 | Al Karkh(home) | 3-2 | Iraqi League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Al Karkh wins, 2 draws, 4 Al Talaba wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 9, 2026 | Al Talaba 3-2 Al Karkh | Iraqi League |
| Jun 1, 2026 | Al Talaba 1-1 Al Karkh | Iraqi League |
| Feb 13, 2026 | Al Karkh 0-2 Al Talaba | Iraqi League |
| May 2, 2025 | Al Karkh 1-4 Al Talaba | Iraqi League |
| Dec 5, 2024 | Al Talaba 1-0 Al Karkh | Iraqi League |
| Apr 2, 2024 | Al Karkh 1-1 Al Talaba | Iraqi League |
How many goals should we expect?
Al Karkh score 1.5 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Al Talaba score 1.1 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Al Karkh | 1.5 | 1.7 | 0 | 10/15 | 8/15 |
| Al Talaba | 1.1 | 1.2 | 5 | 9/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Al Karkh sit 19th in Iraqi League (7 points from 9 matches) and Al Talaba sit 13th (11 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Al Talaba | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 10 | 14 | 11 |
| 19 | Al Karkh | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 12 | 17 | 7 |
A question about Al Karkh vs Al Talaba?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Al Karkh vs Al Talaba?
- The Footlab AI model makes Al Talaba the favourite at 40%, against 28% for a draw and 32% for Al Karkh.
- Where and when is Al Karkh vs Al Talaba played?
- Al Karkh vs Al Talaba is played on April 30, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Al Saher Ahmed Radhi Stadium, in the Iraqi League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.