AL Masry vs El Gouna FC: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 12Kick-off on December 23, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Ismaïlia Stadium, Ismailia
The Footlab model makes AL Masry the favourite at 43%, against 32% for a draw and 25% for El Gouna FC. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win AL Masry vs El Gouna FC?
A very open match: only 97 Elo points separate AL Masry (1,923) and El Gouna FC (1,826).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, AL Masry have 6 wins, 5 draws and 4 defeats; El Gouna FC have 4, 7 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Smouha SC(home) | 1-0 | Premier League |
| Jun 8, 2026 | Enppi(away) | 3-0 | League Cup |
| Jun 1, 2026 | Masr(home) | 1-0 | League Cup |
| May 25, 2026 | Masr(away) | 0-1 | League Cup |
| May 20, 2026 | Al Ahly(home) | 0-2 | Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Future FC(home) | 1-1 | Premier League |
| May 28, 2026 | Petrojet(away) | 2-1 | Premier League |
| May 22, 2026 | El Geish(home) | 2-1 | Premier League |
| May 17, 2026 | National Bank of Egypt(away) | 1-1 | Premier League |
| May 12, 2026 | Kahraba Ismailia(home) | 0-1 | Premier League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 AL Masry win(s), 3 draw(s), 1 El Gouna FC win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 30, 2026 | AL Masry 2-2 El Gouna FC | League Cup |
| Mar 26, 2026 | El Gouna FC 0-2 AL Masry | League Cup |
| Mar 10, 2026 | El Gouna FC 1-0 AL Masry | Premier League |
| Nov 9, 2024 | AL Masry 0-0 El Gouna FC | Premier League |
| Jul 1, 2024 | AL Masry 2-1 El Gouna FC | Premier League |
| Feb 13, 2024 | El Gouna FC 2-2 AL Masry | Premier League |
Last archived meeting: AL Masry vs El Gouna FC on Mar 30, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
AL Masry score 1.1 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; El Gouna FC score 0.9 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 33% probability of over 2.5 goals and 40% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AL Masry | 1.1 | 0.9 | 7 | 5/15 | 4/15 |
| El Gouna FC | 0.9 | 0.9 | 4 | 7/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
AL Masry sit 4th in Premier League (3 points from 1 matches) and El Gouna FC sit 9th (1 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | AL Masry | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 9 | El Gouna FC | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for AL Masry vs El Gouna FC?
- The Footlab model makes AL Masry the favourite at 43%, against 32% for a draw and 25% for El Gouna FC.
- Where and when is AL Masry vs El Gouna FC played?
- AL Masry vs El Gouna FC is played on December 23, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Ismaïlia Stadium, in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 33% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.