El Gouna FC vs Ghazl El Mehalla: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 13Kick-off on December 27, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Khaled Bichara Stadium, El-Gouna
The Footlab model makes El Gouna FC the favourite at 38%, against 33% for a draw and 29% for Ghazl El Mehalla. The most likely score is 0-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win El Gouna FC vs Ghazl El Mehalla?
A very open match: only 61 Elo points separate El Gouna FC (1,826) and Ghazl El Mehalla (1,765).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, El Gouna FC have 4 wins, 7 draws and 4 defeats; Ghazl El Mehalla have 4, 8 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Future FC(home) | 1-1 | Premier League |
| May 28, 2026 | Petrojet(away) | 2-1 | Premier League |
| May 22, 2026 | El Geish(home) | 2-1 | Premier League |
| May 17, 2026 | National Bank of Egypt(away) | 1-1 | Premier League |
| May 12, 2026 | Kahraba Ismailia(home) | 0-1 | Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Pyramids FC(home) | 0-3 | Premier League |
| May 29, 2026 | Haras El Hodood(home) | 4-2 | Premier League |
| May 23, 2026 | Future FC(away) | 0-0 | Premier League |
| May 18, 2026 | Al Ittihad(home) | 1-0 | Premier League |
| May 13, 2026 | Masr(away) | 2-3 | Premier League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 El Gouna FC win(s), 2 draw(s), 3 Ghazl El Mehalla win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 8, 2026 | Ghazl El Mehalla 1-0 El Gouna FC | Premier League |
| Aug 20, 2025 | El Gouna FC 0-0 Ghazl El Mehalla | Premier League |
| May 16, 2025 | Ghazl El Mehalla 0-4 El Gouna FC | Premier League |
| Nov 23, 2024 | El Gouna FC 0-1 Ghazl El Mehalla | Premier League |
| Aug 18, 2022 | El Gouna FC 0-0 Ghazl El Mehalla | Premier League |
| Apr 15, 2022 | Ghazl El Mehalla 2-1 El Gouna FC | Premier League |
Last archived meeting: Ghazl El Mehalla vs El Gouna FC on Apr 8, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
El Gouna FC score 0.9 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Ghazl El Mehalla score 1.0 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 29% probability of over 2.5 goals and 38% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| El Gouna FC | 0.9 | 0.9 | 4 | 7/15 | 4/15 |
| Ghazl El Mehalla | 1.0 | 0.9 | 6 | 7/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
El Gouna FC sit 9th in Premier League (1 points from 1 matches) and Ghazl El Mehalla sit 20th (0 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | El Gouna FC | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 20 | Ghazl El Mehalla | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for El Gouna FC vs Ghazl El Mehalla?
- The Footlab model makes El Gouna FC the favourite at 38%, against 33% for a draw and 29% for Ghazl El Mehalla.
- Where and when is El Gouna FC vs Ghazl El Mehalla played?
- El Gouna FC vs Ghazl El Mehalla is played on December 27, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Khaled Bichara Stadium, in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 29% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.