Abu Qair Semad vs Wadi Degla: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 12Kick-off on December 22, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Abou Qir Fertilizers Stadium, Al Mandarah
The Footlab model makes Wadi Degla the favourite at 39%, against 32% for a draw and 29% for Abu Qair Semad. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Abu Qair Semad vs Wadi Degla?
A very open match: only 98 Elo points separate Abu Qair Semad (1,798) and Wadi Degla (1,896).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Abu Qair Semad have 6 wins, 7 draws and 2 defeats; Wadi Degla have 7, 6 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | National Bank of Egypt(home) | 1-0 | Premier League |
| May 14, 2026 | Raya Ghazl(home) | 4-0 | Second League |
| May 7, 2026 | Tersana(away) | 0-0 | Second League |
| Apr 30, 2026 | La Viena FC(home) | 1-0 | Second League |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Itesalat(away) | 1-1 | Second League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Masr(home) | 0-0 | Premier League |
| Jun 8, 2026 | Masr(away) | 2-0 | League Cup |
| Jun 1, 2026 | Enppi(home) | 0-1 | League Cup |
| May 28, 2026 | El Geish(away) | 2-0 | Premier League |
| May 25, 2026 | Enppi(away) | 0-0 | League Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 0 Abu Qair Semad win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Wadi Degla win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 15, 2025 | Wadi Degla 3-1 Abu Qair Semad | Second League |
| Oct 20, 2024 | Abu Qair Semad 1-2 Wadi Degla | Second League |
| Oct 17, 2023 | Abu Qair Semad 1-1 Wadi Degla | Second League |
Last archived meeting: Wadi Degla vs Abu Qair Semad on Feb 15, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Abu Qair Semad score 1.1 and concede 0.6 goals per match over their last 15; Wadi Degla score 1.4 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 34% probability of over 2.5 goals and 42% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Abu Qair Semad | 1.1 | 0.6 | 9 | 5/15 | 4/15 |
| Wadi Degla | 1.4 | 0.7 | 8 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Abu Qair Semad sit 6th in Premier League (3 points from 1 matches) and Wadi Degla sit 13th (1 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Abu Qair Semad | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 13 | Wadi Degla | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Abu Qair Semad vs Wadi Degla?
- The Footlab model makes Wadi Degla the favourite at 39%, against 32% for a draw and 29% for Abu Qair Semad.
- Where and when is Abu Qair Semad vs Wadi Degla played?
- Abu Qair Semad vs Wadi Degla is played on December 22, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Abou Qir Fertilizers Stadium, in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 34% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.