Al Ittihad vs Masr: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 12Kick-off on December 24, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Alexandria Stadium, Alexandria
The Footlab model makes Masr the favourite at 37%, against 32% for a draw and 31% for Al Ittihad. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Al Ittihad vs Masr?
A very open match: only 80 Elo points separate Al Ittihad (1,762) and Masr (1,842).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Al Ittihad have 3 wins, 8 draws and 4 defeats; Masr have 5, 5 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Zamalek SC(away) | 0-0 | Premier League |
| May 29, 2026 | National Bank of Egypt(away) | 2-2 | Premier League |
| May 23, 2026 | Ismaily SC(home) | 3-0 | Premier League |
| May 18, 2026 | Ghazl El Mehalla(away) | 0-1 | Premier League |
| May 13, 2026 | El Geish(home) | 1-0 | Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Wadi Degla(away) | 0-0 | Premier League |
| Jun 8, 2026 | Wadi Degla(home) | 0-2 | League Cup |
| Jun 1, 2026 | AL Masry(away) | 0-1 | League Cup |
| May 29, 2026 | Kahraba Ismailia(home) | 1-1 | Premier League |
| May 25, 2026 | AL Masry(home) | 1-0 | League Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Al Ittihad win(s), 3 draw(s), 2 Masr win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 14, 2026 | Al Ittihad 2-1 Masr | Premier League |
| Jan 6, 2026 | Al Ittihad 1-1 Masr | League Cup |
| Sep 22, 2025 | Masr 1-0 Al Ittihad | Premier League |
| May 6, 2025 | Masr 0-0 Al Ittihad | Premier League |
| Jan 11, 2025 | Al Ittihad 0-1 Masr | Premier League |
| May 20, 2024 | Masr 0-0 Al Ittihad | Premier League |
How many goals should we expect?
Al Ittihad score 0.9 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Masr score 1.2 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 34% probability of over 2.5 goals and 42% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Al Ittihad | 0.9 | 1.0 | 6 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
| Masr | 1.2 | 1.2 | 4 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Al Ittihad sit 11th in Premier League (1 points from 1 matches) and Masr sit 14th (1 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Al Ittihad | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 14 | Masr | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Al Ittihad vs Masr?
- The Footlab model makes Masr the favourite at 37%, against 32% for a draw and 31% for Al Ittihad.
- Where and when is Al Ittihad vs Masr played?
- Al Ittihad vs Masr is played on December 24, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Alexandria Stadium, in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 34% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.