Al Mesaimeer vs UMM Salal: prediction and stats
Second DivisionRegular Season - 2Kick-off on August 30, 2026 at 02:15 PM (UTC)Al Seliah Stadium, Ar-Rayyan
The Footlab model makes UMM Salal the favourite at 45%, against 25% for a draw and 29% for Al Mesaimeer. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Al Mesaimeer vs UMM Salal?
UMM Salal starts as the favourite with a 125-point Elo edge (1,677 vs 1,552).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Al Mesaimeer have 6 wins, 2 draws and 7 defeats; UMM Salal have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 30, 2026 | Muaither SC(home) | 1-3 | Second Division |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Al Waab(home) | 3-0 | Second Division |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Lusail City(away) | 0-3 | Second Division |
| Apr 5, 2026 | Al-Khor(away) | 0-2 | Second Division |
| Mar 15, 2026 | Al Bidda SC(home) | 3-0 | Second Division |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 8, 2026 | Lokeren-Temse(away) | 0-5 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 1, 2026 | Al-Gharafa(away) | 1-2 | Emir Cup |
| Apr 27, 2026 | Al Ahli Doha(home) | 1-3 | Stars League |
| Apr 8, 2026 | Al-Rayyan SC(away) | 0-3 | Stars League |
| Apr 4, 2026 | Al Shamal(away) | 2-3 | Stars League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Al Mesaimeer win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 UMM Salal win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 13, 2016 | UMM Salal 2-0 Al Mesaimeer | Stars League |
| Oct 17, 2015 | Al Mesaimeer 0-3 UMM Salal | Stars League |
Last archived meeting: UMM Salal vs Al Mesaimeer on Feb 13, 2016
How many goals should we expect?
Al Mesaimeer score 1.5 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; UMM Salal score 1.9 and concede 2.0. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Al Mesaimeer | 1.5 | 1.5 | 5 | 7/15 | 10/15 |
| UMM Salal | 1.9 | 2.0 | 4 | 9/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Al Mesaimeer | 14 | 5 | 2 | 7 | 19 | 21 | 17 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Al Mesaimeer vs UMM Salal?
- The Footlab model makes UMM Salal the favourite at 45%, against 25% for a draw and 29% for Al Mesaimeer.
- Where and when is Al Mesaimeer vs UMM Salal played?
- Al Mesaimeer vs UMM Salal is played on August 30, 2026 at 02:15 PM (UTC) at Al Seliah Stadium, in the Second Division.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.