UMM Salal vs Al-Khor: prediction and stats
Second DivisionRegular Season - 3Kick-off on September 6, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Suheim Bin Hamad Stadium (Qatar SC Stadium), Doha
The Footlab model makes UMM Salal the favourite at 48%, against 25% for a draw and 27% for Al-Khor. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win UMM Salal vs Al-Khor?
A very open match: only 96 Elo points separate UMM Salal (1,678) and Al-Khor (1,581).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, UMM Salal have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Al-Khor have 5, 2 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 8, 2026 | Lokeren-Temse(away) | 0-5 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 1, 2026 | Al-Gharafa(away) | 1-2 | Emir Cup |
| Apr 27, 2026 | Al Ahli Doha(home) | 1-3 | Stars League |
| Apr 8, 2026 | Al-Rayyan SC(away) | 0-3 | Stars League |
| Apr 4, 2026 | Al Shamal(away) | 2-3 | Stars League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Al-Markhiya(home) | 0-3 | Second Division |
| Jul 27, 2026 | Al Fujairah SC(home) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Apr 30, 2026 | Al-Markhiya(home) | 0-3 | Second Division |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Al Bidda SC(home) | 2-1 | Second Division |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Al Kharaitiyat(away) | 2-2 | Second Division |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 UMM Salal win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 Al-Khor win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 24, 2025 | UMM Salal 1-1 Al-Khor | QSL Cup |
| Mar 28, 2025 | Al-Khor 3-0 UMM Salal | Stars League |
| Oct 26, 2024 | UMM Salal 0-0 Al-Khor | Stars League |
| Sep 6, 2024 | Al-Khor 1-2 UMM Salal | QSL Cup |
| Mar 4, 2024 | Al-Khor 2-0 UMM Salal | QFA Cup |
| Mar 6, 2023 | UMM Salal 1-0 Al-Khor | Emir Cup |
How many goals should we expect?
UMM Salal score 1.9 and concede 2.0 goals per match over their last 15; Al-Khor score 1.2 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UMM Salal | 1.9 | 2.0 | 4 | 9/15 | 12/15 |
| Al-Khor | 1.2 | 1.7 | 3 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Al-Khor | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for UMM Salal vs Al-Khor?
- The Footlab model makes UMM Salal the favourite at 48%, against 25% for a draw and 27% for Al-Khor.
- Where and when is UMM Salal vs Al-Khor played?
- UMM Salal vs Al-Khor is played on September 6, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Suheim Bin Hamad Stadium (Qatar SC Stadium), in the Second Division.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.