Al Minaa Basra vs Al Karkh: prediction and stats
Iraqi LeagueRegular Season - 31Kick-off on April 16, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Basra International Stadium, Basra
The Footlab AI model makes Al Minaa Basra the favourite at 39%, against 28% for a draw and 33% for Al Karkh. The most likely score is 1-1. If Al Minaa Basra wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.2% of the 4,443 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 4, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Al Minaa Basra vs Al Karkh?
A very open match: only 22 Elo points separate Al Minaa Basra (1,499) and Al Karkh (1,521).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Al Minaa Basra vs Al Karkh
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Al Minaa Basra
Not enough data to predict the Al Minaa Basra lineup.
Al Karkh
Not enough data to predict the Al Karkh lineup.
Computed on November 4, 2026 at 08:46 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Al Minaa Basra have 4 wins, 7 draws and 4 defeats; Al Karkh have 3, 4 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 29, 2026 | Al Quwa Al Jawiya(away) | 0-0 | Iraqi League |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Al-Karma(home) | 2-1 | Iraqi League |
| Oct 16, 2026 | Newroz(away) | 0-2 | Iraqi League |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Ghaz Al Shamal(home) | 2-0 | Iraqi League |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Duhok(home) | 1-1 | Iraqi League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 2026 | Gharraf(home) | 1-2 | Iraqi League |
| Oct 23, 2026 | Mosul(home) | 1-1 | Iraqi League |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Al Shorta(away) | 1-1 | Iraqi League |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Al-Karma(away) | 2-3 | Iraqi League |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Naft Maysan(home) | 3-2 | Iraqi League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Al Minaa Basra wins, 1 draw, 5 Al Karkh wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 30, 2026 | Al Karkh 1-0 Al Minaa Basra | Iraqi League |
| Jan 14, 2026 | Al Minaa Basra 0-2 Al Karkh | Iraqi League |
| May 14, 2025 | Al Karkh 1-1 Al Minaa Basra | Iraqi League |
| Oct 4, 2024 | Al Minaa Basra 1-2 Al Karkh | Iraqi League |
| Apr 6, 2024 | Al Minaa Basra 1-3 Al Karkh | Iraqi League |
| Oct 31, 2023 | Al Karkh 4-1 Al Minaa Basra | Iraqi League |
Last archived meeting: Al Karkh vs Al Minaa Basra on Mar 30, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Al Minaa Basra score 1.0 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Al Karkh score 1.4 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 46% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Al Minaa Basra | 1.0 | 1.1 | 5 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
| Al Karkh | 1.4 | 1.7 | 0 | 10/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Al Minaa Basra sit 8th in Iraqi League (16 points from 12 matches) and Al Karkh sit 17th (9 points from 11 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Al Minaa Basra | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 12 | 13 | 16 |
| 17 | Al Karkh | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 14 | 19 | 9 |
A question about Al Minaa Basra vs Al Karkh?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Al Minaa Basra vs Al Karkh?
- The Footlab AI model makes Al Minaa Basra the favourite at 39%, against 28% for a draw and 33% for Al Karkh.
- Where and when is Al Minaa Basra vs Al Karkh played?
- Al Minaa Basra vs Al Karkh is played on April 16, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Basra International Stadium, in the Iraqi League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 46% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.2% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.