Al Minaa Basra vs Al Talaba: prediction and stats
Iraqi LeagueMatchday 32Kick-off on April 19, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Basra International Stadium, Basra
The Footlab AI model makes Al Talaba the favourite at 38%, against 29% for a draw and 33% for Al Minaa Basra. The most likely score is 1-1. If Al Talaba wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.1% of the 5,487 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 12, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Al Minaa Basra vs Al Talaba?
Al Talaba starts as the favourite with a 115-point Elo edge (1,630 vs 1,515).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Al Minaa Basra vs Al Talaba
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Al Minaa Basra
Not enough data to predict the Al Minaa Basra lineup.
Al Talaba
Not enough data to predict the Al Talaba lineup.
Computed on November 12, 2026 at 03:07 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Al Minaa Basra have 4 wins, 7 draws and 4 defeats; Al Talaba have 4, 9 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 5, 2026 | Diyala(away) | 0-0 | Iraqi League |
| Oct 29, 2026 | Al Quwa Al Jawiya(away) | 0-0 | Iraqi League |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Al-Karma(home) | 2-1 | Iraqi League |
| Oct 16, 2026 | Newroz(away) | 0-2 | Iraqi League |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Ghaz Al Shamal(home) | 2-0 | Iraqi League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 6, 2026 | Ghaz Al Shamal(home) | 2-2 | Iraqi League |
| Oct 30, 2026 | Karbala(away) | 2-2 | Iraqi League |
| Oct 22, 2026 | Al Quwa Al Jawiya(home) | 1-0 | Iraqi League |
| Oct 16, 2026 | Al Kahrabaa(away) | 1-0 | Iraqi League |
| Oct 8, 2026 | Al Shorta(home) | 0-0 | Iraqi League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Al Minaa Basra wins, 2 draws, 2 Al Talaba wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 28, 2026 | Al Minaa Basra 1-1 Al Talaba | Iraqi League |
| Jan 19, 2026 | Al Talaba 1-2 Al Minaa Basra | Iraqi League |
| Jun 21, 2025 | Al Minaa Basra 2-3 Al Talaba | Iraqi League |
| Nov 2, 2024 | Al Talaba 1-0 Al Minaa Basra | Iraqi League |
| Jul 5, 2024 | Al Minaa Basra 0-0 Al Talaba | Iraqi League |
| Dec 9, 2023 | Al Talaba 0-1 Al Minaa Basra | Iraqi League |
Last archived meeting: Al Minaa Basra vs Al Talaba on May 28, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Al Minaa Basra score 0.9 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Al Talaba score 1.2 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 45% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Al Minaa Basra | 0.9 | 0.9 | 6 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
| Al Talaba | 1.2 | 1.1 | 6 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Al Minaa Basra sit 9th in Iraqi League (17 points from 13 matches) and Al Talaba sit 11th (16 points from 13 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Al Minaa Basra | 13 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 12 | 13 | 17 |
| 11 | Al Talaba | 13 | 3 | 7 | 3 | 15 | 18 | 16 |
A question about Al Minaa Basra vs Al Talaba?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Al Minaa Basra vs Al Talaba?
- The Footlab AI model makes Al Talaba the favourite at 38%, against 29% for a draw and 33% for Al Minaa Basra.
- Where and when is Al Minaa Basra vs Al Talaba played?
- Al Minaa Basra vs Al Talaba is played on April 19, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Basra International Stadium, in the Iraqi League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 45% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.1% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.