Al Minaa Basra vs Al Talaba: prediction and stats
Iraqi LeagueRegular Season - 32Kick-off on April 19, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Basra International Stadium, al-Baṣra (Basra)
The Footlab model makes Al Talaba the favourite at 45%, against 28% for a draw and 27% for Al Minaa Basra. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Al Minaa Basra vs Al Talaba?
Al Talaba starts as the favourite with a 127-point Elo edge (1,601 vs 1,475).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Al Minaa Basra have 4 wins, 6 draws and 5 defeats; Al Talaba have 4, 6 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 20, 2026 | Zakho(home) | 2-1 | Iraqi League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Al Zawra'a(away) | 0-0 | Iraqi League |
| Jun 2, 2026 | Al Shorta(away) | 0-0 | Iraqi League |
| May 28, 2026 | Al Talaba(home) | 1-1 | Iraqi League |
| May 24, 2026 | Zakho(home) | 2-2 | Iraqi League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Duhok(away) | 3-3 | Iraqi League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Diyala(away) | 1-2 | Iraqi League |
| Jun 1, 2026 | Al Karkh(home) | 1-1 | Iraqi League |
| May 28, 2026 | Al Minaa Basra(away) | 1-1 | Iraqi League |
| May 19, 2026 | Al-Karma(home) | 1-1 | Iraqi League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Al Minaa Basra win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 Al Talaba win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 28, 2026 | Al Minaa Basra 1-1 Al Talaba | Iraqi League |
| Jan 19, 2026 | Al Talaba 1-2 Al Minaa Basra | Iraqi League |
| Jun 21, 2025 | Al Minaa Basra 2-3 Al Talaba | Iraqi League |
| Nov 2, 2024 | Al Talaba 1-0 Al Minaa Basra | Iraqi League |
| Jul 5, 2024 | Al Minaa Basra 0-0 Al Talaba | Iraqi League |
| Dec 9, 2023 | Al Talaba 0-1 Al Minaa Basra | Iraqi League |
Last archived meeting: Al Minaa Basra vs Al Talaba on May 28, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Al Minaa Basra score 1.1 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Al Talaba score 1.5 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 46% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Al Minaa Basra | 1.1 | 1.3 | 5 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
| Al Talaba | 1.5 | 1.5 | 1 | 12/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Al Minaa Basra sit 5th in Iraqi League (4 points from 2 matches) and Al Talaba sit 15th (1 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Al Minaa Basra | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 |
| 15 | Al Talaba | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Al Minaa Basra vs Al Talaba?
- The Footlab model makes Al Talaba the favourite at 45%, against 28% for a draw and 27% for Al Minaa Basra.
- Where and when is Al Minaa Basra vs Al Talaba played?
- Al Minaa Basra vs Al Talaba is played on April 19, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Basra International Stadium, in the Iraqi League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 46% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.