Al-Karma vs Newroz: prediction and stats
Iraqi LeagueRegular Season - 31Kick-off on April 16, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Al Ramadi Stadium, Ar Ramādī (Ramadi)
The Footlab AI model makes Al-Karma the favourite at 48%, against 29% for a draw and 23% for Newroz. The most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 2,443 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Al-Karma vs Newroz?
A very open match: only 83 Elo points separate Al-Karma (1,667) and Newroz (1,584).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Al-Karma vs Newroz
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Al-Karma
Not enough data to predict the Al-Karma lineup.
Newroz
Not enough data to predict the Newroz lineup.
Computed on October 15, 2026 at 09:04 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Al-Karma have 9 wins, 5 draws and 1 defeat; Newroz have 7, 5 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Al Karkh(home) | 3-2 | Iraqi League |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Zakho(home) | 1-0 | Iraqi League |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Erbil(away) | 2-1 | Iraqi League |
| Sep 9, 2026 | Naft(home) | 3-0 | Iraqi League |
| Sep 3, 2026 | Diyala(away) | 2-1 | Iraqi League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9, 2026 | Zakho(away) | 1-0 | Iraqi League |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Ghaz Al Shamal(away) | 0-0 | Iraqi League |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Al-Jolan SC(away) | 2-0 | Iraqi League |
| Sep 9, 2026 | Mosul(home) | 3-0 | Iraqi League |
| Sep 4, 2026 | Naft Maysan(away) | 2-0 | Iraqi League |
What does the head-to-head say?
In the last meeting: 1 Al-Karma win, 0 draws, 0 Newroz wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 4, 2025 | Al-Karma 2-0 Newroz | Iraqi League |
How many goals should we expect?
Al-Karma score 1.5 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Newroz score 1.4 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 38% probability of over 2.5 goals and 44% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Al-Karma | 1.5 | 0.7 | 6 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
| Newroz | 1.4 | 0.7 | 7 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Al-Karma sit 1st in Iraqi League (20 points from 8 matches) and Newroz sit 2nd (18 points from 9 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Al-Karma | 8 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 14 | 5 | 20 |
| 2 | Newroz | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 14 | 4 | 18 |
A question about Al-Karma vs Newroz?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Al-Karma vs Newroz?
- The Footlab AI model makes Al-Karma the favourite at 48%, against 29% for a draw and 23% for Newroz.
- Where and when is Al-Karma vs Newroz played?
- Al-Karma vs Newroz is played on April 16, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Al Ramadi Stadium, in the Iraqi League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 38% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.