Al Zawra'a vs Erbil: prediction and stats
Iraqi LeagueMatchday 31Kick-off on April 16, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Al-Zawraa Stadium, Baghdād
The Footlab AI model makes Erbil the favourite at 42%, against 29% for a draw and 29% for Al Zawra'a. The most likely score is 1-1. If Erbil wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 5,794 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Al Zawra'a vs Erbil?
A very open match: only 47 Elo points separate Al Zawra'a (1,626) and Erbil (1,673).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Al Zawra'a vs Erbil
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Al Zawra'a
4-3-3- 99H. Abdulkareem
- 11M. Cabrera
- 72Mohamed Sherif
- 15I. Soro
- 77Ameer Sabah
- 4Loay Al Ani
- 53Ali Adnan
- 44M. Chobanov
- 25Sajjad Mahdi
- 3Masies Artien
- 1Ahmed Basil
Erbil
Not enough data to predict the Erbil lineup.
Computed on November 14, 2026 at 12:06 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Al Zawra'a have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Erbil have 6, 5 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7, 2026 | Al-Jolan SC(home) | 0-3 | Iraqi League |
| Nov 3, 2026 | Al Riffa(home) | 1-1 | AGCFF Gulf Champions League |
| Oct 28, 2026 | Al Nasr(home) | 0-1 | AGCFF Gulf Champions League |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Ghaz Al Shamal(away) | 0-1 | Iraqi League |
| Oct 13, 2026 | Qatar SC(away) | 1-1 | AGCFF Gulf Champions League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2026 | Gharraf(home) | 1-1 | Iraqi League |
| Nov 4, 2026 | Kazma(home) | 6-0 | AGCFF Gulf Champions League |
| Oct 30, 2026 | Ghaz Al Shamal(home) | 1-1 | Iraqi League |
| Oct 22, 2026 | Zakho(away) | 1-2 | Iraqi League |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Mosul(home) | 0-1 | Iraqi League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Al Zawra'a wins, 2 draws, 0 Erbil wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 31, 2026 | Erbil 1-1 Al Zawra'a | Iraqi League |
| Jan 17, 2026 | Al Zawra'a 1-0 Erbil | Iraqi League |
| Mar 12, 2025 | Al Zawra'a 4-0 Erbil | Iraqi League |
| Oct 5, 2024 | Erbil 1-1 Al Zawra'a | Iraqi League |
| May 1, 2024 | Al Zawra'a 3-0 Erbil | Iraqi League |
| Dec 23, 2023 | Erbil 0-1 Al Zawra'a | Iraqi League |
How many goals should we expect?
Al Zawra'a score 1.1 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Erbil score 1.7 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 42% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Al Zawra'a | 1.1 | 1.0 | 6 | 4/15 | 5/15 |
| Erbil | 1.7 | 0.9 | 7 | 7/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Al Zawra'a sit 6th in Iraqi League (21 points from 13 matches) and Erbil sit 7th (20 points from 13 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Al Zawra'a | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 17 | 12 | 21 |
| 7 | Erbil | 13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 16 | 9 | 20 |
A question about Al Zawra'a vs Erbil?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Al Zawra'a vs Erbil?
- The Footlab AI model makes Erbil the favourite at 42%, against 29% for a draw and 29% for Al Zawra'a.
- Where and when is Al Zawra'a vs Erbil played?
- Al Zawra'a vs Erbil is played on April 16, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Al-Zawraa Stadium, in the Iraqi League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 42% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.