Karbala vs Al-Karma: prediction and stats
Iraqi LeagueRegular Season - 32Kick-off on April 19, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Karbala Stadium, Karbala
The Footlab AI model makes Al-Karma the favourite at 62%, against 24% for a draw and 14% for Karbala. The most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 2,440 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Karbala vs Al-Karma?
Al-Karma is a heavy favourite: 1,667 Elo points against 1,341, a 326-point gap.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Karbala vs Al-Karma
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Karbala
Not enough data to predict the Karbala lineup.
Al-Karma
Not enough data to predict the Al-Karma lineup.
Computed on October 15, 2026 at 11:05 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Karbala have 2 wins, 3 draws and 10 defeats; Al-Karma have 9, 5 and 1.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Al Kahrabaa(away) | 0-0 | Iraqi League |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Erbil(home) | 0-3 | Iraqi League |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Naft(away) | 1-2 | Iraqi League |
| Sep 7, 2026 | Al Quwa Al Jawiya(home) | 2-3 | Iraqi League |
| Sep 4, 2026 | Al Karkh(home) | 1-0 | Iraqi League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Al Karkh(home) | 3-2 | Iraqi League |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Zakho(home) | 1-0 | Iraqi League |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Erbil(away) | 2-1 | Iraqi League |
| Sep 9, 2026 | Naft(home) | 3-0 | Iraqi League |
| Sep 3, 2026 | Diyala(away) | 2-1 | Iraqi League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 0 Karbala wins, 1 draw, 2 Al-Karma wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 30, 2026 | Al-Karma 2-0 Karbala | Iraqi League |
| Jun 13, 2025 | Karbala 0-2 Al-Karma | Iraqi League |
| Jan 2, 2025 | Al-Karma 0-0 Karbala | Iraqi League |
How many goals should we expect?
Karbala score 0.8 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Al-Karma score 1.5 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 45% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Karbala | 0.8 | 1.9 | 3 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
| Al-Karma | 1.5 | 0.7 | 6 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Karbala sit 20th in Iraqi League (6 points from 9 matches) and Al-Karma sit 1st (20 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Al-Karma | 8 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 14 | 5 | 20 |
| 20 | Karbala | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 15 | 6 |
A question about Karbala vs Al-Karma?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Karbala vs Al-Karma?
- The Footlab AI model makes Al-Karma the favourite at 62%, against 24% for a draw and 14% for Karbala.
- Where and when is Karbala vs Al-Karma played?
- Karbala vs Al-Karma is played on April 19, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Karbala Stadium, in the Iraqi League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.