Erbil vs Al-Jolan SC: prediction and stats
Iraqi LeagueRegular Season - 32Kick-off on April 19, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Franso Hariri Stadium, Erbil
The Footlab model makes Erbil the favourite at 48%, against 30% for a draw and 22% for Al-Jolan SC. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Limited history for at least one of the two teams: read this prediction with caution.
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Erbil vs Al-Jolan SC?
Erbil starts as the favourite with a 181-point Elo edge (1,661 vs 1,480).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Erbil have 10 wins, 4 draws and 1 defeats; Al-Jolan SC have 1, 1 and 1.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 25, 2026 | Al Karkh(away) | 1-0 | Iraqi League |
| Aug 21, 2026 | Al Quwa Al Jawiya(home) | 1-1 | Iraqi League |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Al Kahrabaa(home) | 2-0 | Iraqi League |
| Jun 2, 2026 | Baghdad(home) | 3-1 | Iraqi League |
| May 28, 2026 | Zakho(away) | 2-1 | Iraqi League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 25, 2026 | Al Shorta(home) | 0-1 | Iraqi League |
| Aug 20, 2026 | Al Karkh(home) | 1-0 | Iraqi League |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Naft Maysan(away) | 0-0 | Iraqi League |
How many goals should we expect?
Erbil score 1.9 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; Al-Jolan SC score 0.3 and concede 0.3. The model gives a 37% probability of over 2.5 goals and 43% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Erbil | 1.9 | 0.8 | 6 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
| Al-Jolan SC | 0.3 | 0.3 | 2 | 0/3 | 0/3 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Erbil sit 1st in Iraqi League (4 points from 2 matches) and Al-Jolan SC sit 7th (4 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Erbil | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 4 |
| 7 | Al-Jolan SC | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Erbil vs Al-Jolan SC?
- The Footlab model makes Erbil the favourite at 48%, against 30% for a draw and 22% for Al-Jolan SC.
- Where and when is Erbil vs Al-Jolan SC played?
- Erbil vs Al-Jolan SC is played on April 19, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Franso Hariri Stadium, in the Iraqi League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 37% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.