Al Minaa Basra vs Naft Maysan: prediction and stats
Iraqi LeagueRegular Season - 6Kick-off on September 7, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Basra International Stadium, al-Baṣra (Basra)
The Footlab model makes Al Minaa Basra the favourite at 37%, against 29% for a draw and 35% for Naft Maysan. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Al Minaa Basra vs Naft Maysan?
A very open match: only 23 Elo points separate Al Minaa Basra (1,475) and Naft Maysan (1,498).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Al Minaa Basra have 4 wins, 6 draws and 5 defeats; Naft Maysan have 6, 5 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 20, 2026 | Zakho(home) | 2-1 | Iraqi League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Al Zawra'a(away) | 0-0 | Iraqi League |
| Jun 2, 2026 | Al Shorta(away) | 0-0 | Iraqi League |
| May 28, 2026 | Al Talaba(home) | 1-1 | Iraqi League |
| May 24, 2026 | Zakho(home) | 2-2 | Iraqi League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 20, 2026 | Naft(home) | 0-0 | Iraqi League |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Al-Jolan SC(home) | 0-0 | Iraqi League |
| Jun 2, 2026 | Gharraf(away) | 2-0 | Iraqi League |
| May 28, 2026 | Al Quwa Al Jawiya(home) | 0-2 | Iraqi League |
| May 24, 2026 | Al Najaf(home) | 2-1 | Iraqi League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Al Minaa Basra win(s), 0 draw(s), 3 Naft Maysan win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 5, 2026 | Al Minaa Basra 0-1 Naft Maysan | Iraqi League |
| Sep 14, 2025 | Naft Maysan 1-3 Al Minaa Basra | Iraqi League |
| Jun 13, 2025 | Naft Maysan 2-0 Al Minaa Basra | Iraqi League |
| Jan 2, 2025 | Al Minaa Basra 1-0 Naft Maysan | Iraqi League |
| Jun 27, 2024 | Al Minaa Basra 3-0 Naft Maysan | Iraqi League |
| Dec 1, 2023 | Naft Maysan 3-0 Al Minaa Basra | Iraqi League |
Last archived meeting: Al Minaa Basra vs Naft Maysan on Apr 5, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Al Minaa Basra score 1.1 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Naft Maysan score 1.5 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 44% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Al Minaa Basra | 1.1 | 1.3 | 5 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
| Naft Maysan | 1.5 | 1.1 | 5 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Al Minaa Basra sit 5th in Iraqi League (4 points from 2 matches) and Naft Maysan sit 14th (2 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Al Minaa Basra | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 |
| 14 | Naft Maysan | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Al Minaa Basra vs Naft Maysan?
- The Footlab model makes Al Minaa Basra the favourite at 37%, against 29% for a draw and 35% for Naft Maysan.
- Where and when is Al Minaa Basra vs Naft Maysan played?
- Al Minaa Basra vs Naft Maysan is played on September 7, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Basra International Stadium, in the Iraqi League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 44% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.