Al Ula vs Al-Adalah: prediction and stats
Division 1Regular Season - 12Kick-off on November 25, 2026 at 03:10 PM (UTC)Prince Mohammed bin Abdul Aziz Stadium, Medina
The Footlab AI model makes Al Ula the favourite at 74%, against 17% for a draw and 9% for Al-Adalah. The most likely score is 2-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 53.6% of the 3,489 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 25, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Al Ula vs Al-Adalah?
Al Ula starts as the favourite with a 247-point Elo edge (1,849 vs 1,602).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Al Ula vs Al-Adalah
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Al Ula
4-3-3- 91S. Sow
- 96Michael
- 9Abdulfattah Adam
- 29Mohammed Al-Majhad
- 67R. Quioto
- 8Abdulmajeed Al Sulaiheem
- 5Y. Barbet
- 24Ammar Al Dohaim
- 2Yasser Yaqoub Ibrahim
- 4Yousef Haqawi
- 13Abdulquddus Atiah
Al-Adalah
4-3-3- 77Jassem Al Bashah
- 80E. Avornyo
- 19Abdullah Al-Rashidi
- 16Khalid Hamithi
- 43D. Tijanič
- 96Hussain Al Nattar
- 70A. Al Muwallad
- 4André Teixeira
- 18Mohammed Al Saeed
- 89K. F. Al Muzayil
- 17Nawaf Abdullah Al Dawsari
Computed on October 25, 2026 at 11:24 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Al Ula have 10 wins, 1 draw and 4 defeats; Al-Adalah have 8, 3 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 19, 2026 | Al Zulfi(away) | 1-1 | Division 1 |
| Oct 8, 2026 | Al Okhdood(away) | 5-1 | Division 1 |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Jeddah Club(home) | 3-0 | Division 1 |
| Sep 8, 2026 | Damac(away) | 1-0 | Division 1 |
| Sep 2, 2026 | Al-Raed(home) | 2-0 | Division 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 20, 2026 | Al Okhdood(away) | 3-1 | Division 1 |
| Oct 12, 2026 | Al Anwar(home) | 1-1 | Division 1 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Damac(away) | 2-3 | Division 1 |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Al Jandal(home) | 1-0 | Division 1 |
| Sep 7, 2026 | Al Saqer(home) | 1-1 | Division 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Al Ula win, 1 draw, 0 Al-Adalah wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 4, 2026 | Al Ula 4-1 Al-Adalah | Division 1 |
| Nov 27, 2025 | Al-Adalah 1-1 Al Ula | Division 1 |
How many goals should we expect?
Al Ula score 2.0 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Al-Adalah score 1.5 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 64% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Al Ula | 2.0 | 1.1 | 6 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
| Al-Adalah | 1.5 | 1.3 | 4 | 10/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Al Ula sit 1st in Division 1 (19 points from 7 matches) and Al-Adalah sit 6th (12 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Al Ula | 7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 16 | 3 | 19 |
| 6 | Al-Adalah | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 13 | 11 | 12 |
A question about Al Ula vs Al-Adalah?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Al Ula vs Al-Adalah?
- The Footlab AI model makes Al Ula the favourite at 74%, against 17% for a draw and 9% for Al-Adalah.
- Where and when is Al Ula vs Al-Adalah played?
- Al Ula vs Al-Adalah is played on November 25, 2026 at 03:10 PM (UTC) at Prince Mohammed bin Abdul Aziz Stadium, in the Division 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 64% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 53.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.