Al-Nassr vs Al-Hazm: prediction and stats
Pro LeagueRegular Season - 30Kick-off on May 6, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Al Awal Park at King Saud University, Riyadh
The Footlab AI model makes Al-Nassr the favourite at 82%, against 12% for a draw and 6% for Al-Hazm. The most likely score is 3-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.1% of the 4,987 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 8, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Al-Nassr vs Al-Hazm?
Al-Nassr is a heavy favourite: 2,137 Elo points against 1,781, a 356-point gap.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Al-Nassr vs Al-Hazm
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Al-Nassr
4-4-2- 79João Félix
- 7Cristiano Ronaldo
- 10S. Mané
- 17Abdullah Al Khaibari
- 20Ângelo
- 9Abdullah Al Hamdan
- 12Nawaf Boushal
- 26Íñigo Martínez
- 23Ayman Yahya
- 5Abdulelah Al Amri
- 24Bento
Al-Hazm
4-2-3-1- 9Afimico Pululu
- 17Bonheur Mugisha
- 24A. Bah
- 28S. Bendebka
- 70Ahmed Al Shamrani
- 10A. Sayoud
- 4Sultan Tanker
- 27Ahmed Al Nakhli
- 3A. Ben Hmida
- 34Abdulrahman Al-Dakheel
- 36J. Staněk
Computed on November 8, 2026 at 05:40 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Al-Nassr have 12 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats; Al-Hazm have 4, 4 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 2, 2026 | Pakhtakor(away) | 6-2 | AFC Champions League Elite |
| Oct 29, 2026 | Al Kholood(home) | 5-3 | Pro League |
| Oct 23, 2026 | Al-Faisaly FC(away) | 3-1 | Pro League |
| Oct 20, 2026 | NEOM(home) | 1-0 | Pro League |
| Oct 12, 2026 | Neftchi(home) | 3-1 | AFC Champions League Elite |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 29, 2026 | Al Khaleej Saihat(away) | 2-4 | Pro League |
| Oct 22, 2026 | Al-Fayha(home) | 2-2 | Pro League |
| Oct 19, 2026 | Al-Hilal Saudi FC(away) | 0-1 | Pro League |
| Oct 15, 2026 | Al-Fateh(home) | 2-3 | Pro League |
| Oct 10, 2026 | NEOM(home) | 1-1 | Pro League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 5 Al-Nassr wins, 1 draw, 0 Al-Hazm wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 21, 2026 | Al-Nassr 4-0 Al-Hazm | Pro League |
| Oct 25, 2025 | Al-Hazm 0-2 Al-Nassr | Pro League |
| Sep 23, 2024 | Al-Hazm 1-2 Al-Nassr | King's Cup |
| Feb 29, 2024 | Al-Nassr 4-4 Al-Hazm | Pro League |
| Sep 2, 2023 | Al-Hazm 1-5 Al-Nassr | Pro League |
| Jun 23, 2022 | Al-Hazm 1-4 Al-Nassr | Pro League |
How many goals should we expect?
Al-Nassr score 2.7 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Al-Hazm score 1.3 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 73% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Al-Nassr | 2.7 | 1.3 | 4 | 10/15 | 13/15 |
| Al-Hazm | 1.3 | 1.6 | 3 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Al-Nassr sit 3rd in Pro League (28 points from 11 matches) and Al-Hazm sit 14th (10 points from 12 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Al-Nassr | 11 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 28 | 11 | 28 |
| 14 | Al-Hazm | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 14 | 20 | 10 |
A question about Al-Nassr vs Al-Hazm?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Al-Nassr vs Al-Hazm?
- The Footlab AI model makes Al-Nassr the favourite at 82%, against 12% for a draw and 6% for Al-Hazm.
- Where and when is Al-Nassr vs Al-Hazm played?
- Al-Nassr vs Al-Hazm is played on May 6, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Al Awal Park at King Saud University, in the Pro League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 73% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.1% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.