NEOM vs Al-Ittihad FC: prediction and stats
Pro LeagueRegular Season - 30Kick-off on May 6, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)King Khalid Sport City Stadium, Tabouk
The Footlab model makes Al-Ittihad FC the favourite at 40%, against 25% for a draw and 35% for NEOM. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win NEOM vs Al-Ittihad FC?
Al-Ittihad FC starts as the favourite with a 122-point Elo edge (2,010 vs 1,888).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, NEOM have 9 wins, 4 draws and 2 defeats; Al-Ittihad FC have 8, 3 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Al-Faisaly FC(away) | 2-0 | Pro League |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Al-Faisaly FC(away) | 3-1 | King's Cup |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Al-Fayha(home) | 2-1 | Pro League |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Las Palmas(away) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 27, 2026 | Al-Arabi SC(home) | 4-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Al-Qadisiyah FC(away) | 1-0 | Pro League |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Al Najma(away) | 3-0 | King's Cup |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Al Kholood(home) | 1-1 | Pro League |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Al-Jazira(away) | 4-1 | AFC Champions League Elite |
| Jul 30, 2026 | Malaga(away) | 2-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 NEOM win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Al-Ittihad FC win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 8, 2026 | Al-Ittihad FC 3-4 NEOM | Pro League |
| Dec 31, 2025 | NEOM 1-3 Al-Ittihad FC | Pro League |
How many goals should we expect?
NEOM score 1.7 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Al-Ittihad FC score 1.9 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 61% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NEOM | 1.7 | 1.0 | 5 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
| Al-Ittihad FC | 1.9 | 1.5 | 4 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
NEOM sit 5th in Pro League (6 points from 2 matches) and Al-Ittihad FC sit 7th (4 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | NEOM | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 6 |
| 7 | Al-Ittihad FC | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for NEOM vs Al-Ittihad FC?
- The Footlab model makes Al-Ittihad FC the favourite at 40%, against 25% for a draw and 35% for NEOM.
- Where and when is NEOM vs Al-Ittihad FC played?
- NEOM vs Al-Ittihad FC is played on May 6, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at King Khalid Sport City Stadium, in the Pro League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.