Al Shabab vs Abha: prediction and stats
Pro LeagueRegular Season - 30Kick-off on May 6, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Prince Faisal bin Fahd Stadium, Riyadh
The Footlab AI model makes Al Shabab the favourite at 47%, against 25% for a draw and 28% for Abha. The most likely score is 1-1. If Al Shabab wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 3,118 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 23, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Al Shabab vs Abha?
A very open match: only 42 Elo points separate Al Shabab (1,782) and Abha (1,740).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Al Shabab vs Abha
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Al Shabab
4-4-2- 9Roger Martínez
- 49Ricardo Mathias
- 29Y. Adli
- 8J. Brownhill
- 37A. Matuq
- 11Daniel Podence
- 4T. Jedvaj
- 17Mohammed Fuad Ibrahim Al Thani
- 21Dhari Al Anazi
- 55Ali Al Bulayhi
- 1M. Diaw
Abha
5-4-1- 44M. Batshuayi
- 7Firas Al-Ghamdi
- 10N. Fekir
- 17Abdulkarim Darisi
- 14G. Nkoudou
- 3J. Gaari
- 19Abdullah Al Fahad
- 37Abdulbasit Al-Hindi
- 12K. Al Shamrani
- 23Mohammed Al Dossary
- 16D. Léon
Computed on October 23, 2026 at 07:02 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Al Shabab have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Abha have 1, 4 and 10.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 22, 2026 | Al-Fateh(away) | 3-1 | Pro League |
| Oct 19, 2026 | Al-Faisaly FC(home) | 2-2 | Pro League |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Al Taawon(home) | 3-0 | Pro League |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Al-Fayha(home) | 0-0 | Pro League |
| Sep 9, 2026 | Al Kholood(away) | 1-2 | Pro League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2026 | Al-Qadisiyah FC(away) | 1-2 | Pro League |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Al Diriyah(away) | 0-0 | Pro League |
| Sep 9, 2026 | Al-Nassr(away) | 1-2 | Pro League |
| Sep 4, 2026 | Al-Ettifaq(home) | 0-1 | Pro League |
| Aug 28, 2026 | Al-Fayha(away) | 2-3 | Pro League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Al Shabab wins, 2 draws, 1 Abha win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 22, 2025 | Abha 1-1 Al Shabab | King's Cup |
| Apr 18, 2024 | Al Shabab 5-0 Abha | Pro League |
| Oct 28, 2023 | Abha 2-1 Al Shabab | Pro League |
| Feb 14, 2023 | Al Shabab 2-0 Abha | Pro League |
| Sep 1, 2022 | Abha 0-4 Al Shabab | Pro League |
| Jan 8, 2022 | Al Shabab 1-1 Abha | Pro League |
How many goals should we expect?
Al Shabab score 1.7 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Abha score 0.7 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Al Shabab | 1.7 | 1.4 | 4 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
| Abha | 0.7 | 1.7 | 3 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Al Shabab sit 11th in Pro League (11 points from 10 matches) and Abha sit 18th (2 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Al Shabab | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 14 | 14 | 11 |
| 18 | Abha | 8 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 15 | 2 |
A question about Al Shabab vs Abha?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Al Shabab vs Abha?
- The Footlab AI model makes Al Shabab the favourite at 47%, against 25% for a draw and 28% for Abha.
- Where and when is Al Shabab vs Abha played?
- Al Shabab vs Abha is played on May 6, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Prince Faisal bin Fahd Stadium, in the Pro League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.