Al Okhdood vs Al Ula: prediction and stats
Division 1Regular Season - 6Kick-off on September 19, 2026 at 03:35 PM (UTC)Prince Hathloul Bin Abdul Aziz Sport City Stadium, Najran
The Footlab model makes Al Ula the favourite at 50%, against 25% for a draw and 26% for Al Okhdood. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Al Okhdood vs Al Ula?
Al Ula starts as the favourite with a 136-point Elo edge (1,828 vs 1,692).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Al Okhdood have 5 wins, 1 draws and 9 defeats; Al Ula have 9, 1 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Al Taee(away) | 2-0 | Division 1 |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Al Khaleej Saihat(home) | 2-0 | King's Cup |
| May 21, 2026 | Al Riyadh(away) | 0-1 | Pro League |
| May 16, 2026 | Al Khaleej Saihat(home) | 3-1 | Pro League |
| May 12, 2026 | Al Kholood(away) | 0-0 | Pro League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Al Jabalain(home) | 3-1 | Division 1 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Al-Fateh(home) | 3-0 | King's Cup |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Crystal Palace(away) | 1-3 | Como Cup |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Como(away) | 1-3 | Como Cup |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Villarreal(home) | 0-3 | Como Cup |
How many goals should we expect?
Al Okhdood score 1.0 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Al Ula score 1.9 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Al Okhdood | 1.0 | 1.8 | 4 | 5/15 | 7/15 |
| Al Ula | 1.9 | 1.4 | 3 | 11/15 | 13/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Al Okhdood sit 3rd in Division 1 (3 points from 1 matches) and Al Ula sit 2nd (3 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Al Ula | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 3 |
| 3 | Al Okhdood | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Al Okhdood vs Al Ula?
- The Footlab model makes Al Ula the favourite at 50%, against 25% for a draw and 26% for Al Okhdood.
- Where and when is Al Okhdood vs Al Ula played?
- Al Okhdood vs Al Ula is played on September 19, 2026 at 03:35 PM (UTC) at Prince Hathloul Bin Abdul Aziz Sport City Stadium, in the Division 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.