Damac vs Al Orubah: prediction and stats
Division 1Regular Season - 2Kick-off on August 28, 2026 at 05:50 PM (UTC)Dhamak Club Stadium, Khamis Mushait
The Footlab model makes Al Orubah the favourite at 37%, against 26% for a draw and 36% for Damac. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Damac vs Al Orubah?
A very open match: only 15 Elo points separate Damac (1,714) and Al Orubah (1,729).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Damac have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; Al Orubah have 7, 1 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Al Saqer(away) | 0-0 | Division 1 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Al Taawon(home) | 0-3 | King's Cup |
| May 21, 2026 | Al-Nassr(away) | 1-4 | Pro League |
| May 15, 2026 | Al-Fayha(home) | 3-0 | Pro League |
| May 10, 2026 | Al-Ittihad FC(away) | 1-2 | Pro League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Al-Raed(home) | 0-1 | Division 1 |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Abha(home) | 0-0 | King's Cup |
| May 18, 2026 | Al Ula(away) | 1-2 | Division 1 |
| May 14, 2026 | Al Anwar(home) | 3-1 | Division 1 |
| May 9, 2026 | Jeddah Club(away) | 4-0 | Division 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Damac win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Al Orubah win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 24, 2025 | Damac 1-2 Al Orubah | Pro League |
| Sep 28, 2024 | Al Orubah 1-0 Damac | Pro League |
| Feb 13, 2019 | Damac 4-2 Al Orubah | Division 1 |
| Sep 25, 2018 | Al Orubah 0-2 Damac | Division 1 |
| Apr 18, 2018 | Al Orubah 1-1 Damac | Division 1 |
| Dec 19, 2017 | Damac 1-2 Al Orubah | Division 1 |
How many goals should we expect?
Damac score 1.1 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Al Orubah score 1.3 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Damac | 1.1 | 1.5 | 4 | 6/15 | 8/15 |
| Al Orubah | 1.3 | 1.0 | 5 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Al Orubah | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Damac vs Al Orubah?
- The Footlab model makes Al Orubah the favourite at 37%, against 26% for a draw and 36% for Damac.
- Where and when is Damac vs Al Orubah played?
- Damac vs Al Orubah is played on August 28, 2026 at 05:50 PM (UTC) at Dhamak Club Stadium, in the Division 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.