Al Riffa vs Al Najma: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 7Kick-off on October 30, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stād al-Bahrayn al-Watanī (Bahrain National Stadium), Riffa
The Footlab AI model makes Al Riffa the favourite at 66%, against 20% for a draw and 14% for Al Najma. The most likely score is 2-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 53.7% of the 3,818 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 29, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Al Riffa vs Al Najma?
Al Riffa starts as the favourite with a 255-point Elo edge (1,747 vs 1,492).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Al Riffa vs Al Najma
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Al Riffa
Not enough data to predict the Al Riffa lineup.
Al Najma
Not enough data to predict the Al Najma lineup.
Computed on October 29, 2026 at 03:12 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Al Riffa have 10 wins, 3 draws and 2 defeats; Al Najma have 6, 2 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 27, 2026 | Qatar SC(home) | 4-1 | AGCFF Gulf Champions League |
| Oct 22, 2026 | Sitra(away) | 3-2 | Premier League |
| Oct 17, 2026 | East Riffa(home) | 4-0 | Premier League |
| Oct 13, 2026 | Al Nasr(away) | 0-3 | AGCFF Gulf Champions League |
| Oct 9, 2026 | Malkiya(away) | 1-1 | Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 22, 2026 | A'Ali(home) | 1-2 | Premier League |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Al-Hidd(home) | 2-2 | Premier League |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Sitra(away) | 2-0 | Premier League |
| Sep 11, 2026 | East Riffa(home) | 2-3 | Premier League |
| Sep 2, 2026 | Malkiya(away) | 1-0 | Premier League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Al Riffa wins, 2 draws, 0 Al Najma wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 13, 2026 | Al Najma 1-2 Al Riffa | Premier League |
| Sep 13, 2025 | Al Riffa 1-1 Al Najma | Premier League |
| Mar 4, 2025 | Al Najma 1-3 Al Riffa | Premier League |
| Sep 21, 2024 | Al Riffa 3-0 Al Najma | Premier League |
| Mar 8, 2024 | Al Najma 3-3 Al Riffa | Premier League |
| Jan 14, 2024 | Al Najma 0-8 Al Riffa | Federation Cup |
How many goals should we expect?
Al Riffa score 2.3 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Al Najma score 1.7 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Al Riffa | 2.3 | 1.1 | 6 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
| Al Najma | 1.7 | 1.9 | 4 | 10/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Al Riffa sit 1st in Premier League (14 points from 6 matches) and Al Najma sit 8th (7 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Al Riffa | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 15 | 4 | 14 |
| 8 | Al Najma | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 14 | 7 |
A question about Al Riffa vs Al Najma?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Al Riffa vs Al Najma?
- The Footlab AI model makes Al Riffa the favourite at 66%, against 20% for a draw and 14% for Al Najma.
- Where and when is Al Riffa vs Al Najma played?
- Al Riffa vs Al Najma is played on October 30, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stād al-Bahrayn al-Watanī (Bahrain National Stadium), in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 53.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.