Muharraq vs Sitra: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 7Kick-off on November 1, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stād al-Bahrayn al-Watanī (Bahrain National Stadium), Riffa
The Footlab AI model makes Muharraq the favourite at 74%, against 18% for a draw and 8% for Sitra. The most likely score is 2-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 53.5% of the 3,667 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Muharraq vs Sitra?
Muharraq starts as the favourite with a 268-point Elo edge (1,796 vs 1,528).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Muharraq vs Sitra
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Muharraq
4-2-3-1- 37Edimar Ribeiro da Costa
- 80Arthur Rezende
- 29Anderson Leite
- 15Hanan
- 20A. K. Diarra
- 8Mohammed Al Hardan
- 13Bruno Santos
- 25Hasan Al Karani
- 73Ahmed Bughammar
- 5Amine Benaddi
- 1V. Đekić
Sitra
4-3-3- 99Kennyd
- 70Bruno Bezerra
- 91K. Namnganda
- 7Abdulwasea Al Matari
- 33Maicon Douglas
- 6Judá
- 31V. Emmanuel
- 25O. Elias
- 19R. Abdulla
- 3C.Vázquez
- 32Y. Habib
Computed on October 26, 2026 at 09:20 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Muharraq have 11 wins, 2 draws and 2 defeats; Sitra have 6, 2 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 23, 2026 | East Riffa(away) | 1-0 | Premier League |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Malkiya(home) | 3-0 | Premier League |
| Oct 14, 2026 | Gol Gohar(home) | 2-0 | AFC Champions League Two |
| Oct 9, 2026 | Khalidiya(away) | 2-2 | Premier League |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Arkadag(away) | 0-1 | AFC Champions League Two |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 22, 2026 | Al Riffa(home) | 2-3 | Premier League |
| Oct 16, 2026 | A'Ali(away) | 2-0 | Premier League |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Al Najma(home) | 0-2 | Premier League |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Al-Hidd(home) | 0-0 | Premier League |
| Sep 2, 2026 | East Riffa(away) | 0-0 | Premier League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 5 Muharraq wins, 1 draw, 0 Sitra wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 3, 2026 | Muharraq 3-0 Sitra | Premier League |
| Jan 6, 2026 | Sitra 0-4 Muharraq | Premier League |
| May 1, 2025 | Muharraq 2-0 Sitra | Premier League |
| Dec 7, 2024 | Sitra 0-2 Muharraq | Premier League |
| May 19, 2024 | Muharraq 1-1 Sitra | Premier League |
| Feb 7, 2024 | Sitra 2-3 Muharraq | Premier League |
How many goals should we expect?
Muharraq score 1.6 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Sitra score 1.3 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 38% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Muharraq | 1.6 | 0.7 | 6 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
| Sitra | 1.3 | 1.4 | 7 | 5/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Muharraq sit 4th in Premier League (11 points from 6 matches) and Sitra sit 5th (8 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Muharraq | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 5 | 11 |
| 5 | Sitra | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 5 | 8 |
A question about Muharraq vs Sitra?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Muharraq vs Sitra?
- The Footlab AI model makes Muharraq the favourite at 74%, against 18% for a draw and 8% for Sitra.
- Where and when is Muharraq vs Sitra played?
- Muharraq vs Sitra is played on November 1, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stād al-Bahrayn al-Watanī (Bahrain National Stadium), in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 53.5% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.