Al Sadd vs Lusail City: prediction and stats
Stars LeagueRegular Season - 10Kick-off on November 27, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Jassim Bin Hamad Stadium (Al-Sadd Stadium), Doha
The Footlab AI model makes Al Sadd the favourite at 77%, against 14% for a draw and 9% for Lusail City. The most likely score is 2-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 4,605 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 6, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Al Sadd vs Lusail City?
Al Sadd starts as the favourite with a 274-point Elo edge (1,880 vs 1,606).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Al Sadd vs Lusail City
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Al Sadd
4-2-3-1- 12Y. Abdurisag
- 9Roberto Firmino
- 30Akram Afif
- 33Claudinho
- 4M. Camara
- 11Giovani
- 6Paulo Otávio
- 16Boualem Khoukhi
- 2Pedro Miguel
- 3Y. El Hannach
- 22Meshaal Barsham
Lusail City
4-1-4-1- 19Rodrigo
- 6O. Ebrahimi
- 20Naif Al Hadhrami
- 8Khaled Mohammed
- 11H. Firouzi
- 14K. Mansour
- 66A. Nemati
- 4F. Russo
- 2A. Pilali
- 27M. Aiash
- 1A. Shakouri
Computed on November 6, 2026 at 04:25 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Al Sadd have 8 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats; Lusail City have 5, 4 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 2, 2026 | Al-Ahli Jeddah(home) | 0-0 | AFC Champions League Elite |
| Oct 30, 2026 | Al Shamal(home) | 4-1 | Stars League |
| Oct 26, 2026 | Al-Qadisiyah FC(away) | 1-1 | AFC Champions League Elite |
| Oct 22, 2026 | Al Shahaniya(away) | 4-0 | Stars League |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Al-Duhail SC(home) | 2-3 | Stars League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 2026 | Al-Sailiya(away) | 2-1 | Stars League |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Al-Duhail SC(away) | 1-3 | Stars League |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Al Shamal(home) | 0-0 | Stars League |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Al Shahaniya(away) | 0-1 | Stars League |
| Sep 29, 2026 | Al Waab(away) | 1-1 | QSL Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
In the last meeting: 1 Al Sadd win, 0 draws, 0 Lusail City wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 3, 2024 | Lusail City 1-2 Al Sadd | QFA Cup |
Last archived meeting: Lusail City vs Al Sadd on Mar 3, 2024
How many goals should we expect?
Al Sadd score 2.4 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Lusail City score 1.3 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 74% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Al Sadd | 2.4 | 1.5 | 3 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
| Lusail City | 1.3 | 1.3 | 6 | 6/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Al Sadd sit 1st in Stars League (18 points from 8 matches) and Lusail City sit 7th (9 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Al Sadd | 8 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 31 | 14 | 18 |
| 7 | Lusail City | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 9 | 9 |
A question about Al Sadd vs Lusail City?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Al Sadd vs Lusail City?
- The Footlab AI model makes Al Sadd the favourite at 77%, against 14% for a draw and 9% for Lusail City.
- Where and when is Al Sadd vs Lusail City played?
- Al Sadd vs Lusail City is played on November 27, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Jassim Bin Hamad Stadium (Al-Sadd Stadium), in the Stars League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 74% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.