Al Shorta vs Al Kahrabaa: prediction and stats
Iraqi LeagueRegular Season - 8Kick-off on September 18, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Al-Shaab Stadium, Baghdād
The Footlab model makes Al Shorta the favourite at 60%, against 23% for a draw and 17% for Al Kahrabaa. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Al Shorta vs Al Kahrabaa?
Al Shorta starts as the favourite with a 233-point Elo edge (1,697 vs 1,464).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Al Shorta have 8 wins, 4 draws and 3 defeats; Al Kahrabaa have 5, 3 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Al-Karma(away) | 1-2 | Iraqi League |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Karbala(home) | 1-1 | Iraqi League |
| Jun 2, 2026 | Al Minaa Basra(home) | 0-0 | Iraqi League |
| May 28, 2026 | Al Karkh(away) | 2-0 | Iraqi League |
| May 20, 2026 | Erbil(home) | 0-2 | Iraqi League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 20, 2026 | Ghaz Al Shamal(away) | 1-1 | Iraqi League |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Erbil(away) | 0-2 | Iraqi League |
| May 27, 2026 | Duhok(away) | 2-1 | Iraqi League |
| May 19, 2026 | Gharraf(home) | 2-2 | Iraqi League |
| May 15, 2026 | Baghdad(away) | 1-0 | Iraqi League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 5 Al Shorta win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Al Kahrabaa win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 2, 2026 | Al Shorta 2-0 Al Kahrabaa | Iraqi League |
| Oct 4, 2025 | Al Kahrabaa 0-1 Al Shorta | Iraqi League |
| Feb 13, 2025 | Al Shorta 2-0 Al Kahrabaa | Iraqi League |
| Dec 21, 2024 | Al Kahrabaa 0-1 Al Shorta | Iraqi League |
| May 8, 2024 | Al Kahrabaa 2-2 Al Shorta | Iraqi League |
| Feb 24, 2024 | Al Shorta 2-1 Al Kahrabaa | Iraqi League |
Last archived meeting: Al Shorta vs Al Kahrabaa on Mar 2, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Al Shorta score 1.7 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Al Kahrabaa score 1.4 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Al Shorta | 1.7 | 0.9 | 6 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
| Al Kahrabaa | 1.4 | 1.5 | 3 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Al Shorta sit 17th in Iraqi League (1 points from 2 matches) and Al Kahrabaa sit 19th (1 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Al Shorta | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 |
| 19 | Al Kahrabaa | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Al Shorta vs Al Kahrabaa?
- The Footlab model makes Al Shorta the favourite at 60%, against 23% for a draw and 17% for Al Kahrabaa.
- Where and when is Al Shorta vs Al Kahrabaa played?
- Al Shorta vs Al Kahrabaa is played on September 18, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Al-Shaab Stadium, in the Iraqi League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.