Al Shorta vs Naft: prediction and stats
Iraqi LeagueRegular Season - 13Kick-off on November 6, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Al-Shaab Stadium, Baghdād
The Footlab model makes Al Shorta the favourite at 53%, against 29% for a draw and 18% for Naft. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Al Shorta vs Naft?
Al Shorta starts as the favourite with a 166-point Elo edge (1,697 vs 1,530).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Al Shorta have 8 wins, 4 draws and 3 defeats; Naft have 4, 7 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Al-Karma(away) | 1-2 | Iraqi League |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Karbala(home) | 1-1 | Iraqi League |
| Jun 2, 2026 | Al Minaa Basra(home) | 0-0 | Iraqi League |
| May 28, 2026 | Al Karkh(away) | 2-0 | Iraqi League |
| May 20, 2026 | Erbil(home) | 0-2 | Iraqi League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 20, 2026 | Naft Maysan(away) | 0-0 | Iraqi League |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Al Karkh(home) | 2-0 | Iraqi League |
| Jun 1, 2026 | Newroz(home) | 2-1 | Iraqi League |
| May 27, 2026 | Al Zawra'a(away) | 1-0 | Iraqi League |
| May 19, 2026 | Duhok(home) | 1-1 | Iraqi League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Al Shorta win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 Naft win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 1, 2026 | Al Shorta 1-0 Naft | Iraqi League |
| Mar 21, 2026 | Naft 1-1 Al Shorta | Iraqi League |
| Jun 15, 2025 | Al Shorta 4-0 Naft | Iraqi League |
| Oct 31, 2024 | Naft 0-2 Al Shorta | Iraqi League |
| Apr 25, 2024 | Naft 1-1 Al Shorta | Iraqi League |
| Dec 2, 2023 | Al Shorta 0-1 Naft | Iraqi League |
How many goals should we expect?
Al Shorta score 1.7 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Naft score 0.6 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 34% probability of over 2.5 goals and 38% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Al Shorta | 1.7 | 0.9 | 6 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
| Naft | 0.6 | 0.7 | 7 | 4/15 | 2/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Al Shorta sit 17th in Iraqi League (1 points from 2 matches) and Naft sit 2nd (4 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Naft | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 |
| 17 | Al Shorta | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Al Shorta vs Naft?
- The Footlab model makes Al Shorta the favourite at 53%, against 29% for a draw and 18% for Naft.
- Where and when is Al Shorta vs Naft played?
- Al Shorta vs Naft is played on November 6, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Al-Shaab Stadium, in the Iraqi League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 34% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.