Al-Karma vs Naft Maysan: prediction and stats
Iraqi LeagueRegular Season - 13Kick-off on November 6, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Al Ramadi Stadium, Ar Ramādī (Ramadi)
The Footlab AI model makes Al-Karma the favourite at 70%, against 20% for a draw and 10% for Naft Maysan. The most likely score is 2-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 2,796 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 19, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Al-Karma vs Naft Maysan?
Al-Karma starts as the favourite with a 181-point Elo edge (1,669 vs 1,489).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Al-Karma vs Naft Maysan
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Al-Karma
Not enough data to predict the Al-Karma lineup.
Naft Maysan
Not enough data to predict the Naft Maysan lineup.
Computed on October 19, 2026 at 10:46 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Al-Karma have 9 wins, 6 draws and 0 defeats; Naft Maysan have 4, 6 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Al Quwa Al Jawiya(away) | 0-0 | Iraqi League |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Al Karkh(home) | 3-2 | Iraqi League |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Zakho(home) | 1-0 | Iraqi League |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Erbil(away) | 2-1 | Iraqi League |
| Sep 9, 2026 | Naft(home) | 3-0 | Iraqi League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2026 | Diyala(away) | 0-2 | Iraqi League |
| Oct 8, 2026 | Erbil(home) | 1-1 | Iraqi League |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Al Karkh(away) | 2-3 | Iraqi League |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Al Talaba(home) | 2-0 | Iraqi League |
| Sep 9, 2026 | Al Minaa Basra(away) | 1-1 | Iraqi League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 1 Al-Karma win, 1 draw, 2 Naft Maysan wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 14, 2026 | Naft Maysan 1-1 Al-Karma | Iraqi League |
| Feb 21, 2026 | Al-Karma 3-0 Naft Maysan | Iraqi League |
| Feb 20, 2025 | Naft Maysan 3-2 Al-Karma | Iraqi League |
| Dec 6, 2024 | Al-Karma 1-2 Naft Maysan | Iraqi League |
Last archived meeting: Naft Maysan vs Al-Karma on May 14, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Al-Karma score 1.5 and concede 0.6 goals per match over their last 15; Naft Maysan score 1.1 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 42% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Al-Karma | 1.5 | 0.6 | 7 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
| Naft Maysan | 1.1 | 1.3 | 4 | 7/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Al-Karma sit 1st in Iraqi League (24 points from 10 matches) and Naft Maysan sit 18th (8 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Al-Karma | 10 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 17 | 7 | 24 |
| 18 | Naft Maysan | 10 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 14 | 8 |
A question about Al-Karma vs Naft Maysan?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Al-Karma vs Naft Maysan?
- The Footlab AI model makes Al-Karma the favourite at 70%, against 20% for a draw and 10% for Naft Maysan.
- Where and when is Al-Karma vs Naft Maysan played?
- Al-Karma vs Naft Maysan is played on November 6, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Al Ramadi Stadium, in the Iraqi League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.