Alanya 1221 FK vs Karsiyaka: prediction and stats
3. Lig - Group 23. Lig Group 2 - 30Kick-off on March 28, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Milli Egemenlik Stadyumu, Antalya
The Footlab model makes Karsiyaka the favourite at 50%, against 28% for a draw and 22% for Alanya 1221 FK. The most likely score is 0-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Alanya 1221 FK vs Karsiyaka?
Karsiyaka starts as the favourite with a 178-point Elo edge (1,725 vs 1,547).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Alanya 1221 FK have 6 wins, 5 draws and 4 defeats; Karsiyaka have 9, 4 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 18, 2026 | Eskişehirspor(away) | 0-1 | 3. Lig - Group 4 |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Denizli İYG(home) | 0-0 | 3. Lig - Group 4 |
| Apr 5, 2026 | Ayvalikgucu(away) | 1-0 | 3. Lig - Group 4 |
| Mar 29, 2026 | Uşak Spor(home) | 1-0 | 3. Lig - Group 4 |
| Mar 25, 2026 | Altay(away) | 0-0 | 3. Lig - Group 4 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 28, 2026 | Ayvalikgucu(home) | 0-2 | 3. Lig - Play-offs |
| Apr 24, 2026 | Ayvalikgucu(away) | 0-0 | 3. Lig - Play-offs |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Tire 2021 FK(away) | 1-1 | 3. Lig - Group 4 |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Söke 1970(home) | 5-0 | 3. Lig - Group 4 |
| Apr 5, 2026 | Bornova 1877(away) | 5-0 | 3. Lig - Group 4 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Alanya 1221 FK win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Karsiyaka win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 1, 2026 | Karsiyaka 3-1 Alanya 1221 FK | 3. Lig - Group 4 |
| Sep 28, 2025 | Alanya 1221 FK 1-2 Karsiyaka | 3. Lig - Group 4 |
Last archived meeting: Karsiyaka vs Alanya 1221 FK on Feb 1, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Alanya 1221 FK score 1.1 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Karsiyaka score 2.7 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 41% probability of over 2.5 goals and 45% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alanya 1221 FK | 1.1 | 0.7 | 7 | 5/15 | 4/15 |
| Karsiyaka | 2.7 | 0.7 | 7 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Alanya 1221 FK vs Karsiyaka?
- The Footlab model makes Karsiyaka the favourite at 50%, against 28% for a draw and 22% for Alanya 1221 FK.
- Where and when is Alanya 1221 FK vs Karsiyaka played?
- Alanya 1221 FK vs Karsiyaka is played on March 28, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Milli Egemenlik Stadyumu, in the 3. Lig - Group 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 41% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Mar 28, 2027AltayvsTire 2021 FK
- Mar 28, 2027BalıkesirsporvsAyvalikgucu
- Mar 28, 2027EskişehirsporvsSöke 1970
- Mar 28, 2027Etimesgut SKvsKepezspor
- Mar 28, 2027Uşak SporvsDenizli İYG
- Mar 28, 2027AkşehirsporvsAnadolu Üniversitesi
- Mar 28, 2027Bursa YıldırımsporvsBigaspor
- Mar 28, 2027Bucaspor 1928vsNilüfer Belediye