Karsiyaka vs Uşak Spor: prediction and stats
3. Lig - Group 23. Lig Group 2 - 31Kick-off on April 4, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Alsancak Mustafa Denizli Stadı, İzmir
The Footlab model makes Karsiyaka the favourite at 62%, against 24% for a draw and 14% for Uşak Spor. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Karsiyaka vs Uşak Spor?
Karsiyaka starts as the favourite with a 209-point Elo edge (1,725 vs 1,517).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Karsiyaka have 9 wins, 4 draws and 2 defeats; Uşak Spor have 6, 2 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 28, 2026 | Ayvalikgucu(home) | 0-2 | 3. Lig - Play-offs |
| Apr 24, 2026 | Ayvalikgucu(away) | 0-0 | 3. Lig - Play-offs |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Tire 2021 FK(away) | 1-1 | 3. Lig - Group 4 |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Söke 1970(home) | 5-0 | 3. Lig - Group 4 |
| Apr 5, 2026 | Bornova 1877(away) | 5-0 | 3. Lig - Group 4 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 12, 2026 | İzmir Çoruhlu FK(away) | 1-3 | 3. Lig - Group 4 |
| Apr 5, 2026 | Anadolu Üniversitesi(home) | 0-1 | 3. Lig - Group 4 |
| Mar 29, 2026 | Alanya 1221 FK(away) | 0-1 | 3. Lig - Group 4 |
| Mar 25, 2026 | Balıkesirspor(home) | 0-2 | 3. Lig - Group 4 |
| Mar 15, 2026 | Kütahyaspor(away) | 1-1 | 3. Lig - Group 4 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 2 Karsiyaka win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Uşak Spor win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 7, 2026 | Uşak Spor 1-2 Karsiyaka | 3. Lig - Group 4 |
| Nov 2, 2025 | Karsiyaka 1-0 Uşak Spor | 3. Lig - Group 4 |
Last archived meeting: Uşak Spor vs Karsiyaka on Mar 7, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Karsiyaka score 2.7 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Uşak Spor score 0.9 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 45% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Karsiyaka | 2.7 | 0.7 | 7 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
| Uşak Spor | 0.9 | 1.2 | 6 | 4/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Karsiyaka vs Uşak Spor?
- The Footlab model makes Karsiyaka the favourite at 62%, against 24% for a draw and 14% for Uşak Spor.
- Where and when is Karsiyaka vs Uşak Spor played?
- Karsiyaka vs Uşak Spor is played on April 4, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Alsancak Mustafa Denizli Stadı, in the 3. Lig - Group 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.