Match

Balıkesirspor vs Ayvalikgucu: prediction and stats

3. Lig - Group 23. Lig Group 2 - 30Kick-off on March 28, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Balıkesir Atatürk Stadyumu, Balıkesir

BalıkesirsporAyvalikgucu

The Footlab model makes Balıkesirspor the favourite at 40%, against 29% for a draw and 31% for Ayvalikgucu. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Balıkesirspor vs Ayvalikgucu?

A very open match: only 45 Elo points separate Balıkesirspor (1,675) and Ayvalikgucu (1,720).

Balıkesirspor win40 %
Draw29 %
Ayvalikgucu win31 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Balıkesirspor have 9 wins, 2 draws and 4 defeats; Ayvalikgucu have 7, 3 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Balıkesirspor
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Apr 28, 2026Eskişehirspor(away)0-33. Lig - Play-offs
Apr 24, 2026Eskişehirspor(home)2-13. Lig - Play-offs
Apr 18, 2026Bornova 1877(away)4-13. Lig - Group 4
Apr 12, 2026Eskişehirspor(home)1-13. Lig - Group 4
Apr 5, 2026Denizli İYG(away)1-03. Lig - Group 4
Ayvalikgucu
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
May 17, 2026Yeni Orduspor(home)1-23. Lig - Play-offs
May 8, 2026Eskişehirspor(away)0-03. Lig - Play-offs
May 4, 2026Eskişehirspor(home)2-03. Lig - Play-offs
Apr 28, 2026Karsiyaka(away)2-03. Lig - Play-offs
Apr 24, 2026Karsiyaka(home)0-03. Lig - Play-offs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Balıkesirspor win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Ayvalikgucu win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Mar 29, 2026Balıkesirspor 1-2 Ayvalikgucu3. Lig - Group 4
Dec 7, 2025Ayvalikgucu 1-0 Balıkesirspor3. Lig - Group 4

Last archived meeting: Balıkesirspor vs Ayvalikgucu on Mar 29, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Balıkesirspor score 1.9 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Ayvalikgucu score 1.4 and concede 0.8. The model gives a 44% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Balıkesirspor1.90.967/159/15
Ayvalikgucu1.40.865/155/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Balıkesirspor vs Ayvalikgucu?
The Footlab model makes Balıkesirspor the favourite at 40%, against 29% for a draw and 31% for Ayvalikgucu.
Where and when is Balıkesirspor vs Ayvalikgucu played?
Balıkesirspor vs Ayvalikgucu is played on March 28, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Balıkesir Atatürk Stadyumu, in the 3. Lig - Group 2.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 44% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Balıkesirspor and Ayvalikgucu

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