Where and when is Alcobendas Sport vs Real Aranjuez played?

Alcobendas Sport vs Real Aranjuez is played on October 18, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Campos Municipales Valle de la Oliva, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 7.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Alcobendas Sport vs Real Aranjuez: prediction and stats

Tercera División RFEF - Group 7Group 7 - 7Kick-off on October 18, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Campos Municipales Valle de la Oliva, Majadahonda

Alcobendas Sport

Real Aranjuez

The Footlab model makes Alcobendas Sport the favourite at 38%, against 27% for a draw and 35% for Real Aranjuez. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Alcobendas Sport vs Real Aranjuez?

Alcobendas Sport starts as the favourite with a 174-point Elo edge (1,718 vs 1,544).

Alcobendas Sport win38 %

Draw27 %

Real Aranjuez win35 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Alcobendas Sport have 5 wins, 6 draws and 4 defeats; Real Aranjuez have 2, 2 and 11.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Alcobendas Sport
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
May 10, 2026	Leganés II(away)	2-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
May 3, 2026	Trival Valderas(home)	0-2	Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Apr 26, 2026	Torrejón(away)	3-3	Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Apr 18, 2026	AD Parla(home)	2-2	Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Apr 11, 2026	Alcorcón II(away)	1-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 7

Real Aranjuez
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Apr 23, 2023	Madrid 2021 FP(away)	0-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Apr 16, 2023	RSC Internacional(home)	0-3	Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Apr 6, 2023	Trival Valderas(home)	1-5	Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Apr 2, 2023	Rayo Vallecano II(away)	0-6	Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Mar 26, 2023	Galapagar(home)	0-2	Tercera División RFEF - Group 7

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 4 meetings: 4 Alcobendas Sport win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Real Aranjuez win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Feb 26, 2023	Real Aranjuez 0-2 Alcobendas Sport	Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Oct 23, 2022	Alcobendas Sport 4-1 Real Aranjuez	Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
May 16, 2021	Real Aranjuez 2-3 Alcobendas Sport	Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Apr 28, 2021	Alcobendas Sport 4-0 Real Aranjuez	Tercera División RFEF - Group 7

Last archived meeting: Real Aranjuez vs Alcobendas Sport on Feb 26, 2023

How many goals should we expect?

Alcobendas Sport score 1.2 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Real Aranjuez score 0.6 and concede 2.2. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Alcobendas Sport	1.2	1.4	3	9/15	7/15
Real Aranjuez	0.6	2.2	4	4/15	6/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
11	Alcobendas Sport	34	12	10	13	45	49	45

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Alcobendas Sport vs Real Aranjuez?: The Footlab model makes Alcobendas Sport the favourite at 38%, against 27% for a draw and 35% for Real Aranjuez.
Where and when is Alcobendas Sport vs Real Aranjuez played?: Alcobendas Sport vs Real Aranjuez is played on October 18, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Campos Municipales Valle de la Oliva, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 7.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.