Colonia Moscardó vs Las Rozas: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 7Group 7 - 7Kick-off on October 18, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Román Valero, Madrid
The Footlab model makes Las Rozas the favourite at 37%, against 27% for a draw and 36% for Colonia Moscardó. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Colonia Moscardó vs Las Rozas?
A very open match: only 15 Elo points separate Colonia Moscardó (1,765) and Las Rozas (1,780).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Colonia Moscardó have 5 wins, 2 draws and 8 defeats; Las Rozas have 5, 3 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 3, 2026 | Intercity(away) | 0-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Navalcarnero(home) | 0-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Apr 14, 2026 | Real Madrid III(away) | 0-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Apr 11, 2026 | Orihuela(home) | 1-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Apr 5, 2026 | Getafe II(away) | 2-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 7, 2026 | Trival Valderas(away) | 1-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| May 31, 2026 | Trival Valderas(home) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| May 24, 2026 | Torrejón(away) | 3-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| May 17, 2026 | Torrejón(home) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| May 10, 2026 | Galapagar(away) | 1-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 0 Colonia Moscardó win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Las Rozas win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 7, 2024 | Las Rozas 1-0 Colonia Moscardó | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| Nov 19, 2023 | Colonia Moscardó 3-3 Las Rozas | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| Mar 27, 2022 | Colonia Moscardó 1-2 Las Rozas | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| Nov 28, 2021 | Las Rozas 1-0 Colonia Moscardó | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
Last archived meeting: Las Rozas vs Colonia Moscardó on Apr 7, 2024
How many goals should we expect?
Colonia Moscardó score 1.1 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Las Rozas score 1.7 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Colonia Moscardó | 1.1 | 1.3 | 5 | 5/15 | 8/15 |
| Las Rozas | 1.7 | 1.5 | 5 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Las Rozas | 34 | 16 | 8 | 10 | 58 | 42 | 56 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Colonia Moscardó vs Las Rozas?
- The Footlab model makes Las Rozas the favourite at 37%, against 27% for a draw and 36% for Colonia Moscardó.
- Where and when is Colonia Moscardó vs Las Rozas played?
- Colonia Moscardó vs Las Rozas is played on October 18, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Román Valero, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 7.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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