Unión Adarve vs Villanueva Pardillo: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 7Group 7 - 7Kick-off on October 18, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Centro Deportivo Municipal Vicente del Bosque, Madrid
The Footlab model makes Unión Adarve the favourite at 49%, against 26% for a draw and 25% for Villanueva Pardillo. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Unión Adarve vs Villanueva Pardillo?
A very open match: only 74 Elo points separate Unión Adarve (1,796) and Villanueva Pardillo (1,722).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Unión Adarve have 9 wins, 2 draws and 4 defeats; Villanueva Pardillo have 7, 3 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2026 | Racing Madrid(home) | 5-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| May 3, 2026 | Las Rozas(away) | 2-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Galapagar(home) | 3-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Villaverde-Boetticher(home) | 3-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| Apr 11, 2026 | A Madrid III(away) | 0-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2026 | Carabanchel(home) | 3-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| May 3, 2026 | Móstoles(away) | 5-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | SS Reyes II(home) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Racing Madrid(away) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Las Rozas(home) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 3 Unión Adarve win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Villanueva Pardillo win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 2, 2026 | Unión Adarve 1-0 Villanueva Pardillo | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| Nov 23, 2025 | Villanueva Pardillo 2-1 Unión Adarve | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| Jan 24, 2021 | Unión Adarve 2-1 Villanueva Pardillo | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| Oct 25, 2020 | Villanueva Pardillo 1-2 Unión Adarve | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
Last archived meeting: Unión Adarve vs Villanueva Pardillo on Apr 2, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Unión Adarve score 1.8 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Villanueva Pardillo score 1.3 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unión Adarve | 1.8 | 1.1 | 6 | 6/15 | 9/15 |
| Villanueva Pardillo | 1.3 | 1.0 | 5 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Unión Adarve sit 6th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 (53 points from 34 matches) and Villanueva Pardillo sit 12th (44 points from 34 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Unión Adarve | 34 | 15 | 8 | 11 | 48 | 42 | 53 |
| 12 | Villanueva Pardillo | 34 | 13 | 5 | 16 | 39 | 45 | 44 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Unión Adarve vs Villanueva Pardillo?
- The Footlab model makes Unión Adarve the favourite at 49%, against 26% for a draw and 25% for Villanueva Pardillo.
- Where and when is Unión Adarve vs Villanueva Pardillo played?
- Unión Adarve vs Villanueva Pardillo is played on October 18, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Centro Deportivo Municipal Vicente del Bosque, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 7.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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