Match

Unión Adarve vs Villanueva Pardillo: prediction and stats

Tercera División RFEF - Group 7Group 7 - 7Kick-off on October 18, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Centro Deportivo Municipal Vicente del Bosque, Madrid

Unión AdarveVillanueva Pardillo

The Footlab model makes Unión Adarve the favourite at 49%, against 26% for a draw and 25% for Villanueva Pardillo. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Unión Adarve vs Villanueva Pardillo?

A very open match: only 74 Elo points separate Unión Adarve (1,796) and Villanueva Pardillo (1,722).

Unión Adarve win49 %
Draw26 %
Villanueva Pardillo win25 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Unión Adarve have 9 wins, 2 draws and 4 defeats; Villanueva Pardillo have 7, 3 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Unión Adarve
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
May 10, 2026Racing Madrid(home)5-0Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
May 3, 2026Las Rozas(away)2-0Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Apr 26, 2026Galapagar(home)3-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Apr 19, 2026Villaverde-Boetticher(home)3-0Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Apr 11, 2026A Madrid III(away)0-3Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Villanueva Pardillo
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
May 10, 2026Carabanchel(home)3-0Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
May 3, 2026Móstoles(away)5-3Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Apr 26, 2026SS Reyes II(home)2-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Apr 19, 2026Racing Madrid(away)1-0Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Apr 12, 2026Las Rozas(home)2-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 7

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 4 meetings: 3 Unión Adarve win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Villanueva Pardillo win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Apr 2, 2026Unión Adarve 1-0 Villanueva PardilloTercera División RFEF - Group 7
Nov 23, 2025Villanueva Pardillo 2-1 Unión AdarveTercera División RFEF - Group 7
Jan 24, 2021Unión Adarve 2-1 Villanueva PardilloTercera División RFEF - Group 7
Oct 25, 2020Villanueva Pardillo 1-2 Unión AdarveTercera División RFEF - Group 7

Last archived meeting: Unión Adarve vs Villanueva Pardillo on Apr 2, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Unión Adarve score 1.8 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Villanueva Pardillo score 1.3 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Unión Adarve1.81.166/159/15
Villanueva Pardillo1.31.057/156/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Unión Adarve sit 6th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 (53 points from 34 matches) and Villanueva Pardillo sit 12th (44 points from 34 matches).

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
6Unión Adarve3415811484253
12Villanueva Pardillo3413516394544

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Unión Adarve vs Villanueva Pardillo?
The Footlab model makes Unión Adarve the favourite at 49%, against 26% for a draw and 25% for Villanueva Pardillo.
Where and when is Unión Adarve vs Villanueva Pardillo played?
Unión Adarve vs Villanueva Pardillo is played on October 18, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Centro Deportivo Municipal Vicente del Bosque, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 7.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Unión Adarve and Villanueva Pardillo

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