Alcochetense vs Aljustrelense: prediction and stats
Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group DGroup D - 16Kick-off on January 30, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Estádio António Almeida Correia, Alcochete
The Footlab AI model makes Alcochetense the favourite at 61%, against 24% for a draw and 15% for Aljustrelense. The most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,457 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Alcochetense vs Aljustrelense?
Alcochetense starts as the favourite with a 225-point Elo edge (1,887 vs 1,663).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Alcochetense vs Aljustrelense
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Alcochetense
Not enough data to predict the Alcochetense lineup.
Aljustrelense
4-3-3- PPedro Alexandre Fialho Guerreiro
- PPaulo Costa
- EE. Udokporo
- BBabacar Thiam Fall
- SSene Dabo
- IInsa Sagna
- BBlessed Andrade Mendes Teixeira
- VVumi Côco Mpasi
- RRui Miguel Pereira Alexandre
- JJonathan Restrepo Firmino
- IIgor Miguel Henriques Palma
Computed on October 16, 2026 at 02:27 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Alcochetense have 7 wins, 5 draws and 3 defeats; Aljustrelense have 2, 3 and 10.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Santa Clara B(away) | 0-2 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group D |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Aljustrelense(away) | 2-0 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group D |
| Sep 20, 2026 | CF Benfica(home) | 2-0 | Taça de Portugal |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Imortal Albufeira(home) | 1-1 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group D |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Fayal(home) | 8-0 | Taça de Portugal |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Juventude Évora(away) | 0-3 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group D |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Alcochetense(home) | 0-2 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group D |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Os Limianos(away) | 0-3 | Taça de Portugal |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Portel(away) | 1-1 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group D |
| Aug 30, 2026 | Ferreiras(away) | 3-0 | Taça de Portugal |
What does the head-to-head say?
In the last meeting: 1 Alcochetense win, 0 draws, 0 Aljustrelense wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 27, 2026 | Aljustrelense 0-2 Alcochetense | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group D |
Last archived meeting: Aljustrelense vs Alcochetense on Sep 27, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Alcochetense score 1.9 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Aljustrelense score 0.6 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 47% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alcochetense | 1.9 | 0.9 | 6 | 7/15 | 5/15 |
| Aljustrelense | 0.6 | 1.9 | 2 | 5/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
A question about Alcochetense vs Aljustrelense?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Alcochetense vs Aljustrelense?
- The Footlab AI model makes Alcochetense the favourite at 61%, against 24% for a draw and 15% for Aljustrelense.
- Where and when is Alcochetense vs Aljustrelense played?
- Alcochetense vs Aljustrelense is played on January 30, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Estádio António Almeida Correia, in the Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group D.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.