Portel vs Juventude Évora: prediction and stats
Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group DGroup D - 16Kick-off on January 30, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)
The Footlab model makes Portel the favourite at 38%, against 28% for a draw and 34% for Juventude Évora. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Portel vs Juventude Évora?
Juventude Évora starts as the favourite with a 129-point Elo edge (1,889 vs 1,760).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 5 matches in all competitions, Portel have 0 wins, 2 draws and 3 defeats; Juventude Évora have 6, 7 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Alcochetense(away) | 2-2 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group D |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Sintrense(home) | 2-2 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group D |
| Aug 31, 2025 | FC Serpa(away) | 0-3 | Taça de Portugal |
| Sep 8, 2024 | Moura(away) | 0-1 | Taça de Portugal |
| Sep 10, 2023 | Juventude Évora(away) | 0-3 | Taça de Portugal |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 2026 | Alcochetense(home) | 3-2 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group D |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Vasco da Gama Vidigueira(home) | 4-1 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group D |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Moncarapachense(away) | 1-0 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group D |
| Apr 4, 2026 | Comércio Indústria(home) | 1-1 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group D |
| Mar 22, 2026 | FC Serpa(away) | 3-0 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group D |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 0 Portel win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Juventude Évora win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 10, 2023 | Juventude Évora 3-0 Portel | Taça de Portugal |
Last archived meeting: Juventude Évora vs Portel on Sep 10, 2023
How many goals should we expect?
Portel score 0.8 and concede 2.2 goals per match over their last 5; Juventude Évora score 1.5 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Portel | 0.8 | 2.2 | 0 | 2/5 | 4/5 |
| Juventude Évora | 1.5 | 1.0 | 4 | 11/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 5 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Juventude Évora | 26 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 26 | 25 | 32 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Portel vs Juventude Évora?
- The Footlab model makes Portel the favourite at 38%, against 28% for a draw and 34% for Juventude Évora.
- Where and when is Portel vs Juventude Évora played?
- Portel vs Juventude Évora is played on January 30, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC), in the Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group D.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.