Real Jaén vs Águilas: prediction and stats
Primera División RFEF - Group 2Group 2 - 14Kick-off on November 29, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Nuevo Estadio La Victoria, Jaén
The Footlab AI model makes Real Jaén the favourite at 53%, against 27% for a draw and 20% for Águilas. The most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.2% of the 2,919 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 21, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Real Jaén vs Águilas?
On Elo ratings, Real Jaén has 2,005 points and Águilas 1,934.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Real Jaén vs Águilas
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Real Jaén
4-3-3- 11Mario Martos
- 9Marco Siverio
- 19M. Keita
- 8Antonio Caballero
- 6Jose Alvarez
- 10Paz Adri
- 21Mohamed Sanhaji
- 3D. Serrano
- 4J. Pol
- 24Alejandro Cea
- 1J. Morillas
Águilas
4-3-3- 11Josema Raigal
- 19G. Serrano Iranzo
- 10Javi Castedo
- 8Mario Abenza
- 6Y. El Arbaoui
- 5A. Perez
- 3José Mas
- 2Johan Terranova
- 4Antonio Sánchez
- 23H. Martinez
- 13Jose Salcedo
Computed on October 21, 2026 at 03:22 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Real Jaén have 8 wins, 4 draws and 3 defeats; Águilas have 5, 5 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | Rayo Majadahonda(home) | 1-0 | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Villarreal II(home) | 3-3 | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Hércules(away) | 0-0 | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Antequera(away) | 0-2 | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Ibiza(home) | 2-1 | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Ibiza(home) | 1-2 | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Huesca(home) | 2-2 | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | FC Cartagena(away) | 1-4 | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Hércules(home) | 0-1 | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Algeciras(away) | 1-1 | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Real Jaén win, 1 draw, 0 Águilas wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 1, 2026 | Real Jaén 3-1 Águilas | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Dec 21, 2025 | Águilas 1-1 Real Jaén | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
How many goals should we expect?
Real Jaén score 1.5 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Águilas score 1.1 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 44% probability of over 2.5 goals and 47% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Jaén | 1.5 | 1.1 | 5 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
| Águilas | 1.1 | 1.2 | 5 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Real Jaén sit 5th in Primera División RFEF - Group 2 (15 points from 8 matches) and Águilas sit 17th (6 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Real Jaén | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 12 | 8 | 15 |
| 17 | Águilas | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 14 | 6 |
A question about Real Jaén vs Águilas?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Real Jaén vs Águilas?
- The Footlab AI model makes Real Jaén the favourite at 53%, against 27% for a draw and 20% for Águilas.
- Where and when is Real Jaén vs Águilas played?
- Real Jaén vs Águilas is played on November 29, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Nuevo Estadio La Victoria, in the Primera División RFEF - Group 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 44% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.2% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.