Rayo Majadahonda vs Real Madrid II: prediction and stats
Primera División RFEF - Group 2Group 2 - 14Kick-off on November 29, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Miniestadio Cerro del Espino, Majadahonda
The Footlab model makes Rayo Majadahonda the favourite at 48%, against 29% for a draw and 24% for Real Madrid II. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Rayo Majadahonda vs Real Madrid II?
A very open match: only 28 Elo points separate Rayo Majadahonda (1,984) and Real Madrid II (1,956).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Rayo Majadahonda have 8 wins, 5 draws and 2 defeats; Real Madrid II have 5, 6 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Gimnástica Segoviana(away) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Alcorcon(away) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 3, 2026 | Rayo Vallecano II(home) | 3-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Fuenlabrada(away) | 0-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Elche II(away) | 1-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Atlético Baleares(home) | 0-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 20, 2026 | Zamora(home) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Ponferradina(away) | 2-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Mirandes(home) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Racing Ferrol(away) | 2-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Rayo Majadahonda win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Real Madrid II win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 20, 2023 | Real Madrid II 3-0 Rayo Majadahonda | Friendlies Clubs |
| Mar 5, 2023 | Real Madrid II 1-2 Rayo Majadahonda | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Dec 6, 2022 | Rayo Majadahonda 1-2 Real Madrid II | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Mar 3, 2021 | Real Madrid II 1-0 Rayo Majadahonda | Primera División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Nov 15, 2020 | Rayo Majadahonda 1-0 Real Madrid II | Primera División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Feb 16, 2020 | Rayo Majadahonda 2-2 Real Madrid II | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
Last archived meeting: Real Madrid II vs Rayo Majadahonda on Aug 20, 2023
How many goals should we expect?
Rayo Majadahonda score 1.6 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; Real Madrid II score 1.3 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 40% probability of over 2.5 goals and 46% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rayo Majadahonda | 1.6 | 0.8 | 6 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
| Real Madrid II | 1.3 | 1.5 | 4 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Rayo Majadahonda vs Real Madrid II?
- The Footlab model makes Rayo Majadahonda the favourite at 48%, against 29% for a draw and 24% for Real Madrid II.
- Where and when is Rayo Majadahonda vs Real Madrid II played?
- Rayo Majadahonda vs Real Madrid II is played on November 29, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Miniestadio Cerro del Espino, in the Primera División RFEF - Group 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 40% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.