Alcúdia vs Llosetense: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 11Group 11 - 8Kick-off on October 25, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Estadi Municipal Els Arcs, Mallorca
The Footlab AI model makes Llosetense the favourite at 41%, against 26% for a draw and 33% for Alcúdia. The most likely score is 1-1. If Llosetense wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 2,460 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Alcúdia vs Llosetense?
Llosetense starts as the favourite with a 135-point Elo edge (1,844 vs 1,709).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Alcúdia vs Llosetense
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Alcúdia
Not enough data to predict the Alcúdia lineup.
Llosetense
Not enough data to predict the Llosetense lineup.
Computed on October 16, 2026 at 01:23 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Alcúdia have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Llosetense have 5, 5 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Mercadal(home) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Cardassar(away) | 2-6 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Constància(away) | 0-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Santanyí(home) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Arenal(away) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Santanyí(away) | 0-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Arenal(home) | 3-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Inter Ibiza(away) | 3-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Formentera(home) | 0-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Andratx(away) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Alcúdia wins, 0 draws, 3 Llosetense wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 31, 2026 | Alcúdia 2-1 Llosetense | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
| Sep 20, 2025 | Llosetense 2-0 Alcúdia | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
| Mar 15, 2025 | Alcúdia 1-2 Llosetense | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
| Nov 20, 2024 | Llosetense 1-3 Alcúdia | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
| Mar 28, 2024 | Llosetense 0-2 Alcúdia | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
| Nov 11, 2023 | Alcúdia 1-2 Llosetense | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
Last archived meeting: Alcúdia vs Llosetense on Jan 31, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Alcúdia score 1.6 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Llosetense score 1.4 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alcúdia | 1.6 | 1.8 | 4 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
| Llosetense | 1.4 | 1.1 | 3 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Alcúdia sit 10th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 (9 points from 6 matches) and Llosetense sit 9th (10 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Llosetense | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 6 | 10 |
| 10 | Alcúdia | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 11 | 9 |
A question about Alcúdia vs Llosetense?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Alcúdia vs Llosetense?
- The Footlab AI model makes Llosetense the favourite at 41%, against 26% for a draw and 33% for Alcúdia.
- Where and when is Alcúdia vs Llosetense played?
- Alcúdia vs Llosetense is played on October 25, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Estadi Municipal Els Arcs, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 11.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.