Aldershot Town vs Sutton Utd: prediction and stats
National LeagueRegular Season - 27Kick-off on January 8, 2027 at 07:45 PM (UTC)Electrical Services Stadium, Aldershot, Hampshire
The Footlab model makes Sutton Utd the favourite at 39%, against 26% for a draw and 35% for Aldershot Town. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Aldershot Town vs Sutton Utd?
A very open match: only 32 Elo points separate Aldershot Town (1,742) and Sutton Utd (1,774).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Aldershot Town have 6 wins, 2 draws and 7 defeats; Sutton Utd have 7, 3 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Kidderminster Harriers(away) | 1-1 | National League |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Fulham U21(home) | 2-2 | National League Cup |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Hartlepool(home) | 0-1 | National League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Boston United(away) | 1-0 | National League |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Braintree(away) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Hartlepool(home) | 2-1 | National League |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Leicester City U21(home) | 0-0 | National League Cup |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Altrincham(home) | 1-0 | National League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Woking(away) | 3-0 | National League |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Southampton U21(home) | 3-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Aldershot Town win(s), 4 draw(s), 0 Sutton Utd win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 3, 2026 | Aldershot Town 2-2 Sutton Utd | National League |
| Dec 26, 2025 | Sutton Utd 0-0 Aldershot Town | National League |
| Apr 18, 2025 | Aldershot Town 1-1 Sutton Utd | National League |
| Jan 1, 2025 | Sutton Utd 1-1 Aldershot Town | National League |
| Jul 29, 2023 | Sutton Utd 0-1 Aldershot Town | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 24, 2021 | Sutton Utd 1-2 Aldershot Town | Friendlies Clubs |
Last archived meeting: Aldershot Town vs Sutton Utd on Apr 3, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Aldershot Town score 1.1 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Sutton Utd score 1.3 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 56% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aldershot Town | 1.1 | 1.3 | 4 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
| Sutton Utd | 1.3 | 1.2 | 5 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Aldershot Town sit 14th in National League (4 points from 3 matches) and Sutton Utd sit 2nd (9 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Sutton Utd | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 9 |
| 14 | Aldershot Town | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Aldershot Town vs Sutton Utd?
- The Footlab model makes Sutton Utd the favourite at 39%, against 26% for a draw and 35% for Aldershot Town.
- Where and when is Aldershot Town vs Sutton Utd played?
- Aldershot Town vs Sutton Utd is played on January 8, 2027 at 07:45 PM (UTC) at Electrical Services Stadium, in the National League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.