Sutton Utd vs Aldershot Town: prediction and stats
National LeagueRegular Season - 15Kick-off on October 28, 2026 at 07:45 PM (UTC)VBS Community Stadium, Sutton, Surrey
The Footlab AI model makes Sutton Utd the favourite at 48%, against 26% for a draw and 26% for Aldershot Town. The most likely score is 1-1. If Sutton Utd wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 1,754 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 9, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Sutton Utd vs Aldershot Town?
A very open match: only 9 Elo points separate Sutton Utd (1,811) and Aldershot Town (1,819).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Sutton Utd vs Aldershot Town
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Sutton Utd
4-3-3- 9T. Babalola
- 16B. Njoku
- 18D. Ogbonna
- 8J. Taylor
- 7E. Osadebe
- 19Joe Knight
- 5W. Nightingale
- 27B. Brookes
- 12D. Urpens
- 15J. Moore-Taylor
- 1S. Brits
Aldershot Town
4-3-3- 9M. Dinanga
- 21B. Peart
- 11Hakeem Kwabena Owusu Sandah
- 6D. Odusanya
- 23C. Lawless
- 3O. Harfield
- 12Michael George Stickland
- 18N. Adom-Malaki
- 5Kiki Oshilaja
- 2M. Efete
- 1N. Hayes
Computed on October 9, 2026 at 01:43 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Sutton Utd have 6 wins, 5 draws and 4 defeats; Aldershot Town have 6, 4 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 3, 2026 | Kidderminster Harriers(away) | 1-1 | National League |
| Sep 30, 2026 | Tamworth(away) | 0-2 | National League |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Forest Green(home) | 3-3 | National League |
| Sep 19, 2026 | FC Halifax Town(away) | 1-1 | National League |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Eastleigh(home) | 2-1 | National League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 3, 2026 | Carlisle(home) | 1-3 | National League |
| Sep 29, 2026 | AFC Hornchurch(away) | 1-2 | National League |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Tamworth(home) | 5-1 | National League |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Barrow(away) | 0-1 | National League |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Yeovil Town(home) | 1-1 | National League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Sutton Utd wins, 4 draws, 2 Aldershot Town wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 3, 2026 | Aldershot Town 2-2 Sutton Utd | National League |
| Dec 26, 2025 | Sutton Utd 0-0 Aldershot Town | National League |
| Apr 18, 2025 | Aldershot Town 1-1 Sutton Utd | National League |
| Jan 1, 2025 | Sutton Utd 1-1 Aldershot Town | National League |
| Jul 29, 2023 | Sutton Utd 0-1 Aldershot Town | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 24, 2021 | Sutton Utd 1-2 Aldershot Town | Friendlies Clubs |
Last archived meeting: Aldershot Town vs Sutton Utd on Apr 3, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Sutton Utd score 1.2 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Aldershot Town score 1.4 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sutton Utd | 1.2 | 1.3 | 4 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
| Aldershot Town | 1.4 | 1.3 | 2 | 10/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Sutton Utd sit 11th in National League (18 points from 12 matches) and Aldershot Town sit 10th (18 points from 12 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Aldershot Town | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 17 | 13 | 18 |
| 11 | Sutton Utd | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 14 | 16 | 18 |
A question about Sutton Utd vs Aldershot Town?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Sutton Utd vs Aldershot Town?
- The Footlab AI model makes Sutton Utd the favourite at 48%, against 26% for a draw and 26% for Aldershot Town.
- Where and when is Sutton Utd vs Aldershot Town played?
- Sutton Utd vs Aldershot Town is played on October 28, 2026 at 07:45 PM (UTC) at VBS Community Stadium, in the National League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.