Match

MSV Duisburg vs Fortuna Köln: prediction and stats

3. LigaMatchday 38Kick-off on May 22, 2027 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Schauinsland-Reisen-Arena, Duisburg

MSV DuisburgFortuna Köln

The Footlab AI model makes MSV Duisburg the favourite at 60%, against 21% for a draw and 19% for Fortuna Köln. The most likely score is 2-1.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 5,794 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Nov 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win MSV Duisburg vs Fortuna Köln?

MSV Duisburg starts as the favourite with a 103-point Elo edge (2,102 vs 1,999).

60%21%19%
MSV Duisburg winDrawFortuna Köln win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for MSV Duisburg vs Fortuna Köln

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

MSV Duisburg

3-4-3
  1. 11D. Kother
  2. 14C. Noß
  3. 9L. Lobinger
  1. 6R. Bulić
  2. 8A. Casar
  3. 20N. Jessen
  4. 27C. Coşkun
  1. 40B. Schlicke
  2. 29J. Bitter
  3. 5T. Fleckstein
  1. 1M. Braune

Fortuna Köln

4-4-2
  1. 30Romeo Aigbekaen
  2. 37J. Mause
  1. 38Bennit Bröger
  2. 20A. Stanilewicz
  3. 14C. Harenbrock
  4. 17F. Heister
  1. 3M. Fischer
  2. 11G. Strauch
  3. 5Seymour Funger
  4. 2Kevin Krumme
  1. 1L. Winkler

Computed on November 14, 2026 at 01:40 PM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, MSV Duisburg have 9 wins, 3 draws and 3 defeats; Fortuna Köln have 4, 4 and 7.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

MSV Duisburg
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Nov 7, 2026Preußen Münster(away)2-13. Liga
Oct 31, 2026Stuttgart II(home)3-33. Liga
Oct 24, 2026FC Ingolstadt 04(away)1-23. Liga
Oct 18, 2026FC Viktoria Köln(home)1-13. Liga
Oct 13, 2026FC Saarbrücken(away)4-23. Liga
Fortuna Köln
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Nov 7, 2026Waldhof Mannheim(away)1-23. Liga
Oct 31, 2026Würzburger Kickers(home)1-23. Liga
Oct 25, 2026Preußen Münster(away)0-13. Liga
Oct 16, 2026Stuttgart II(home)0-13. Liga
Oct 13, 2026Rot-Weiß Essen(away)0-23. Liga

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 4 MSV Duisburg wins, 2 draws, 0 Fortuna Köln wins.

DateScoreCompetition
Mar 1, 2025MSV Duisburg 2-0 Fortuna KölnRegionalliga - West
Sep 14, 2024Fortuna Köln 0-0 MSV DuisburgRegionalliga - West
Jul 14, 2023Fortuna Köln 0-1 MSV DuisburgFriendlies Clubs
Jan 7, 2022Fortuna Köln 2-2 MSV DuisburgFriendlies Clubs
May 13, 2017Fortuna Köln 0-3 MSV Duisburg3. Liga
Dec 10, 2016MSV Duisburg 2-0 Fortuna Köln3. Liga

Last archived meeting: MSV Duisburg vs Fortuna Köln on Mar 1, 2025

How many goals should we expect?

MSV Duisburg score 2.3 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Fortuna Köln score 0.9 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 65% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
MSV Duisburg2.31.4312/1513/15
Fortuna Köln0.91.146/156/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

MSV Duisburg sit 2nd in 3. Liga (29 points from 13 matches) and Fortuna Köln sit 19th (10 points from 13 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
2MSV Duisburg13922331829
19Fortuna Köln13247101610

A question about MSV Duisburg vs Fortuna Köln?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

Ask the AI a questionOpen the full match card in the app

Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for MSV Duisburg vs Fortuna Köln?
The Footlab AI model makes MSV Duisburg the favourite at 60%, against 21% for a draw and 19% for Fortuna Köln.
Where and when is MSV Duisburg vs Fortuna Köln played?
MSV Duisburg vs Fortuna Köln is played on May 22, 2027 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Schauinsland-Reisen-Arena, in the 3. Liga.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 65% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round