Fortuna Köln vs SSV Jahn Regensburg: prediction and stats
3. LigaRegular Season - 37Kick-off on May 15, 2027 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Südstadion, Köln
The Footlab model makes Fortuna Köln the favourite at 58%, against 22% for a draw and 21% for SSV Jahn Regensburg. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Fortuna Köln vs SSV Jahn Regensburg?
Fortuna Köln starts as the favourite with a 131-point Elo edge (2,037 vs 1,907).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Fortuna Köln have 8 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats; SSV Jahn Regensburg have 8, 2 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Alemannia Aachen(home) | 1-1 | 3. Liga |
| Aug 8, 2026 | SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach(away) | 0-1 | 3. Liga |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Kickers Offenbach(home) | 3-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | VVV Venlo(away) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 18, 2026 | Borussia M'gladbach II(home) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 2026 | FC Saarbrücken(home) | 0-1 | 3. Liga |
| Aug 8, 2026 | FC Viktoria Köln(away) | 5-2 | 3. Liga |
| Aug 1, 2026 | SSV Ulm 1846(home) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Stuttgarter Kickers(away) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 15, 2026 | Vilzing(home) | 2-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 1 Fortuna Köln win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 SSV Jahn Regensburg win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 5, 2023 | SSV Jahn Regensburg 2-1 Fortuna Köln | Friendlies Clubs |
| Mar 11, 2017 | Fortuna Köln 2-2 SSV Jahn Regensburg | 3. Liga |
| Sep 17, 2016 | SSV Jahn Regensburg 2-2 Fortuna Köln | 3. Liga |
| May 23, 2015 | SSV Jahn Regensburg 4-0 Fortuna Köln | 3. Liga |
| Nov 29, 2014 | Fortuna Köln 1-0 SSV Jahn Regensburg | 3. Liga |
Last archived meeting: SSV Jahn Regensburg vs Fortuna Köln on Jul 5, 2023
How many goals should we expect?
Fortuna Köln score 1.7 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; SSV Jahn Regensburg score 1.9 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 65% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fortuna Köln | 1.7 | 1.1 | 4 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
| SSV Jahn Regensburg | 1.9 | 1.4 | 3 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Fortuna Köln sit 16th in 3. Liga (1 points from 2 matches) and SSV Jahn Regensburg sit 8th (3 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | SSV Jahn Regensburg | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 3 |
| 16 | Fortuna Köln | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Fortuna Köln vs SSV Jahn Regensburg?
- The Footlab model makes Fortuna Köln the favourite at 58%, against 22% for a draw and 21% for SSV Jahn Regensburg.
- Where and when is Fortuna Köln vs SSV Jahn Regensburg played?
- Fortuna Köln vs SSV Jahn Regensburg is played on May 15, 2027 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Südstadion, in the 3. Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 65% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- May 15, 2027FC Ingolstadt 04vsSV Meppen
- May 15, 2027Preußen MünstervsHansa Rostock
- May 15, 2027SG Sonnenhof GrossaspachvsWürzburger Kickers
- May 15, 2027SV WehenvsHoffenheim II
- May 15, 2027Rot-Weiß EssenvsFortuna Düsseldorf
- May 15, 2027FC SaarbrückenvsStuttgart II
- May 15, 2027Alemannia AachenvsMSV Duisburg
- May 15, 2027Waldhof MannheimvsFC Viktoria Köln