Alessandria vs Celle Varazze: prediction and stats
Serie D - Girone AGroup A - 11Kick-off on November 8, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Stadio Giuseppe Moccagatta, Alessandria
The Footlab AI model makes Alessandria the favourite at 43%, against 28% for a draw and 29% for Celle Varazze. The most likely score is 1-1. If Alessandria wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 2,867 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 20, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Alessandria vs Celle Varazze?
A very open match: only 4 Elo points separate Alessandria (1,657) and Celle Varazze (1,661).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Alessandria vs Celle Varazze
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Alessandria
4-3-3- 31T. Busatto
- 99L. Samele
- 9Óscar Siafá
- 4M. Nichetti
- 14A. Pellitteri
- 24A. Mastalli
- 17E. Gega
- 23S. Ciancio
- 3E. Rossi
- 8A. Rotas
- 1A. Farroni
Celle Varazze
Not enough data to predict the Celle Varazze lineup.
Computed on October 20, 2026 at 05:27 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Alessandria have 7 wins, 2 draws and 6 defeats; Celle Varazze have 6, 2 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | Lascaris(away) | 2-1 | Serie D - Girone A |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Fezzanese(home) | 2-0 | Serie D - Girone A |
| Oct 7, 2026 | Biellese(away) | 2-3 | Coppa Italia Serie D |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Derthona(away) | 3-1 | Serie D - Girone A |
| Sep 30, 2026 | Imperia(home) | 2-1 | Serie D - Girone A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Sestri Levante(away) | 1-1 | Serie D - Girone A |
| Oct 7, 2026 | Bra(away) | 0-2 | Serie D - Girone A |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Chisola(home) | 0-4 | Serie D - Girone A |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Ligorna(home) | 0-2 | Serie D - Girone A |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Saluzzo(away) | 1-3 | Serie D - Girone A |
How many goals should we expect?
Alessandria score 1.5 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Celle Varazze score 0.9 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 46% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alessandria | 1.5 | 1.5 | 3 | 11/15 | 10/15 |
| Celle Varazze | 0.9 | 1.4 | 6 | 4/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Alessandria sit 1st in Serie D - Girone A (21 points from 8 matches) and Celle Varazze sit 18th (1 point from 7 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Alessandria | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 9 | 21 |
| 18 | Celle Varazze | 7 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 14 | 1 |
A question about Alessandria vs Celle Varazze?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Alessandria vs Celle Varazze?
- The Footlab AI model makes Alessandria the favourite at 43%, against 28% for a draw and 29% for Celle Varazze.
- Where and when is Alessandria vs Celle Varazze played?
- Alessandria vs Celle Varazze is played on November 8, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Stadio Giuseppe Moccagatta, in the Serie D - Girone A.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 46% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.