Gozzano vs Derthona: prediction and stats
Serie D - Girone AGroup A - 11Kick-off on November 8, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Stadio Alfredo D'Albertas, Gozzano
The Footlab AI model makes Gozzano the favourite at 38%, against 29% for a draw and 33% for Derthona. The most likely score is 1-1. If Gozzano wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,365 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 13, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Gozzano vs Derthona?
A very open match: only 48 Elo points separate Gozzano (1,701) and Derthona (1,654).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Gozzano vs Derthona
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Gozzano
Not enough data to predict the Gozzano lineup.
Derthona
Not enough data to predict the Derthona lineup.
Computed on October 13, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Gozzano have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Derthona have 5, 5 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Ligorna(home) | 0-4 | Serie D - Girone A |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Biellese(away) | 1-4 | Serie D - Girone A |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Sanremese(home) | 2-1 | Serie D - Girone A |
| Sep 21, 2026 | Fezzanese(away) | 2-0 | Serie D - Girone A |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Borgosesia(home) | 0-0 | Serie D - Girone A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Chisola(away) | 2-4 | Serie D - Girone A |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Alessandria(home) | 1-3 | Serie D - Girone A |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Saluzzo(away) | 0-0 | Serie D - Girone A |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Millesimo(home) | 1-0 | Serie D - Girone A |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Ligorna(away) | 3-2 | Serie D - Girone A |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Gozzano wins, 3 draws, 0 Derthona wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2026 | Derthona 1-2 Gozzano | Serie D - Girone A |
| Feb 8, 2026 | Gozzano 1-1 Derthona | Serie D - Girone A |
| Oct 5, 2025 | Derthona 1-1 Gozzano | Serie D - Girone A |
| Jan 25, 2025 | Derthona 0-1 Gozzano | Serie D - Girone A |
| Sep 28, 2024 | Gozzano 2-2 Derthona | Serie D - Girone A |
| Jan 27, 2024 | Derthona 0-3 Gozzano | Serie D - Girone A |
How many goals should we expect?
Gozzano score 0.9 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Derthona score 1.1 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 44% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gozzano | 0.9 | 1.4 | 5 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
| Derthona | 1.1 | 1.3 | 5 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Gozzano sit 6th in Serie D - Girone A (10 points from 6 matches) and Derthona sit 3rd (11 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Derthona | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 6 | 11 |
| 6 | Gozzano | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 7 | 10 |
A question about Gozzano vs Derthona?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Gozzano vs Derthona?
- The Footlab AI model makes Gozzano the favourite at 38%, against 29% for a draw and 33% for Derthona.
- Where and when is Gozzano vs Derthona played?
- Gozzano vs Derthona is played on November 8, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Stadio Alfredo D'Albertas, in the Serie D - Girone A.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 44% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.