Millesimo vs Ligorna: prediction and stats
Serie D - Girone AGroup A - 11Kick-off on November 8, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC)
The Footlab AI model makes Ligorna the favourite at 42%, against 26% for a draw and 32% for Millesimo. The most likely score is 1-1. If Ligorna wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,365 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 13, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Millesimo vs Ligorna?
Ligorna starts as the favourite with a 180-point Elo edge (1,876 vs 1,697).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Millesimo vs Ligorna
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Millesimo
Not enough data to predict the Millesimo lineup.
Ligorna
Not enough data to predict the Ligorna lineup.
Computed on October 13, 2026 at 04:57 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 8 matches in all competitions, Millesimo have 4 wins, 0 draws and 4 defeats; Ligorna have 8, 4 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Borgosesia(home) | 3-0 | Serie D - Girone A |
| Oct 7, 2026 | Sanremese(away) | 2-5 | Coppa Italia Serie D |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Asti(away) | 0-2 | Serie D - Girone A |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Lascaris(home) | 2-0 | Serie D - Girone A |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Derthona(away) | 0-1 | Serie D - Girone A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Gozzano(away) | 4-0 | Serie D - Girone A |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Saluzzo(home) | 2-1 | Serie D - Girone A |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Chisola(away) | 2-1 | Serie D - Girone A |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Celle Varazze(away) | 2-0 | Serie D - Girone A |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Derthona(home) | 2-3 | Serie D - Girone A |
How many goals should we expect?
Millesimo score 1.6 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 8; Ligorna score 2.2 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Millesimo | 1.6 | 1.4 | 2 | 3/8 | 4/8 |
| Ligorna | 2.2 | 1.1 | 5 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 8 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Millesimo sit 8th in Serie D - Girone A (9 points from 6 matches) and Ligorna sit 4th (10 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Ligorna | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 10 | 10 |
| 8 | Millesimo | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 6 | 9 |
A question about Millesimo vs Ligorna?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Millesimo vs Ligorna?
- The Footlab AI model makes Ligorna the favourite at 42%, against 26% for a draw and 32% for Millesimo.
- Where and when is Millesimo vs Ligorna played?
- Millesimo vs Ligorna is played on November 8, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC), in the Serie D - Girone A.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.