Alessandria vs Valenzana: prediction and stats
Serie D - Girone AGroup A - 18Kick-off on January 6, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Stadio Giuseppe Moccagatta, Alessandria
The Footlab AI model makes Alessandria the favourite at 45%, against 28% for a draw and 27% for Valenzana. The most likely score is 1-1. If Alessandria wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 4,533 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 5, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Alessandria vs Valenzana?
A very open match: only 25 Elo points separate Alessandria (1,741) and Valenzana (1,716).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Alessandria vs Valenzana
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Alessandria
Not enough data to predict the Alessandria lineup.
Valenzana
Not enough data to predict the Valenzana lineup.
Computed on November 5, 2026 at 01:32 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Alessandria have 9 wins, 1 draw and 5 defeats; Valenzana have 4, 2 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2026 | Borgosesia(away) | 3-1 | Serie D - Girone A |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Biellese(home) | 2-0 | Serie D - Girone A |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Lascaris(away) | 2-1 | Serie D - Girone A |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Fezzanese(home) | 2-0 | Serie D - Girone A |
| Oct 7, 2026 | Biellese(away) | 2-3 | Coppa Italia Serie D |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2026 | Celle Varazze(away) | 1-2 | Serie D - Girone A |
| Oct 28, 2026 | Biellese(home) | 3-0 | Coppa Italia Serie D |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Ligorna(home) | 0-1 | Serie D - Girone A |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Biellese(away) | 1-4 | Serie D - Girone A |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Sanremese(home) | 1-1 | Serie D - Girone A |
What does the head-to-head say?
In the last meeting: 1 Alessandria win, 0 draws, 0 Valenzana wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 6, 2026 | Valenzana 1-2 Alessandria | Serie D - Girone A |
Last archived meeting: Valenzana vs Alessandria on Sep 6, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Alessandria score 1.7 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Valenzana score 1.3 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 46% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alessandria | 1.7 | 1.3 | 4 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
| Valenzana | 1.3 | 1.8 | 2 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Alessandria sit 1st in Serie D - Girone A (27 points from 10 matches) and Valenzana sit 17th (5 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Alessandria | 10 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 21 | 10 | 27 |
| 17 | Valenzana | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 10 | 18 | 5 |
A question about Alessandria vs Valenzana?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Alessandria vs Valenzana?
- The Footlab AI model makes Alessandria the favourite at 45%, against 28% for a draw and 27% for Valenzana.
- Where and when is Alessandria vs Valenzana played?
- Alessandria vs Valenzana is played on January 6, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Stadio Giuseppe Moccagatta, in the Serie D - Girone A.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 46% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.